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Gaia Inc (GAIA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Gaia Inc $1.22, price $1.24, upside -1.6%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Communication Services · US · ISIN US36269P1049

GI Gaia Inc logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Gaia Inc

GAIA · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $1.22 · Fairly valued (−2%)
!Quality 37/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 10 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$12.07 $1.21 Fair Value $1.22 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.21 – $12.07 · fair‑value band $0.9100 – $1.82 · the $1.24 price screens above the $1.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Gaia, Inc. operates a digital video subscription service and online community for underserved member base in the United States, Canada, Australia, and internationally.

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Gaia, Inc. operates a digital video subscription service and online community for underserved member base in the United States, Canada, Australia, and internationally. The company's network comprises Seeking Truth that provides topics that include ancient wisdom and metaphysics; Transformation channel that offers content in the areas of spiritual growth, personal development, and expanded consciousness; Alternative Healing channel focuses on food and nutrition, holistic healing, alternative and integrative medicines, and longevity; and Yoga channel, which provides access to streaming yoga, Eastern arts, and other movement based classes. The company was formerly known as Gaiam, Inc. and changed its name to Gaia, Inc. in July 2016. Gaia, Inc. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Louisville, Colorado.

Stock analysis

Gaia Inc (GAIA) currently trades at $1.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.22, implying the stock looks roughly 1.6% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.9100 (bear) to $1.82 (bull), the price of $1.24 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Gaia Inc reported revenue of $99.0M in FY2025 versus $79.6M in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$4.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $60.2M · P/S ratio 0.61 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1900 · Net margin −4.5% · Return on equity −5.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.9% · Operating margin −5.9% · Revenue (TTM) $99.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 80% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −2%, GAIA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.9100 Fair Value $1.22 Bull $1.82
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA $2.24 $2.87 $3.51 66
NCAV (Graham) $1.76 $2.36 $3.52 52
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $2.24 $2.87 $3.51 66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.76 $2.36 $3.52 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 10

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 12
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.2% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−6.9% (2020) → −5.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Gaia Inc with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 263 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.69× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.61× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 23.0× · Priciest 25%
PEG 1.23× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)31 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)10 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 5
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 46

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $72.16 $79.38 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $103.46 $100.87 −3%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $30.83 $13.47 −56%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $169.84 $64.71 −62%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.55 €16.00 +10%
TKO Group TKO $188.87 $95.50 −49%
Formula One Group FWONK $94.62 $104.08 +10%
Fox Corporation FOXA $63.96 $89.49 +40%
Roku, Inc ROKU $153.49 $42.88 −72%
News Corporation NWS A$45.40 A$29.85 −34%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gaia Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GAIA

Frequently asked questions

Is Gaia Inc (GAIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.22 versus a price of $1.24, about −2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GAIA?
Our model-based fair value for Gaia Inc is $1.22 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.24.
What is the quality score of GAIA?
Gaia Inc has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gaia Inc (GAIA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.22 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.9100, optimistic scenario $1.82. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gaia Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.22, about −2% upside versus a price of $1.24 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.9100, optimistic scenario $1.82. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gaia Inc (GAIA)?
Gaia Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $99.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Gaia Inc (GAIA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gaia Inc it is $1.22 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1.24. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gaia Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, GAIA trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.24, fair value $1.22, a gap of about −2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GAIA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.24); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.22). For Gaia Inc the two are $0.0200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gaia Inc worth?
The market values Gaia Inc at about $60.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.24; our models calculate a fair value of $1.22 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GAIA?
Our models span a range for Gaia Inc: cautious scenario $0.9100, base $1.22, optimistic $1.82 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1.24). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of GAIA?
The PEG ratio of Gaia Inc is 1.23 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gaia Inc (GAIA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gaia Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −5.5%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GAIA from its 52-week high?
Gaia Inc trades at $1.24, about 80% below its 52-week high of $6.26 and 2% above the low of $1.21 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.22 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gaia Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gaia Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1.24, calculated fair value $1.22 (−2%), Quality Score 37/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GAIA calculated?
We run Gaia Inc through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.22, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Gaia Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gaia Inc (GAIA)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $1.24. Our model-based fair value is $1.22, about −2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gaia Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($0.9100 to $1.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Gaia Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Gaia Inc (GAIA)?
The market capitalisation of Gaia Inc is $60.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gaia Inc (GAIA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gaia Inc is 0.61 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gaia Inc (GAIA)?
Earnings per share at Gaia Inc are $−0.1900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Gaia Inc (GAIA)?
The net margin of Gaia Inc is −4.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gaia Inc (GAIA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gaia Inc is −5.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gaia Inc (GAIA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gaia Inc is −1.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gaia Inc (GAIA)?
The operating margin of Gaia Inc is −5.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gaia Inc (GAIA)?
Revenue at Gaia Inc is growing +2.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gaia Inc (GAIA)?
Earnings per share at Gaia Inc are growing −87.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Gaia Inc (GAIA) generate?
The free cash flow of Gaia Inc is −$377K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Gaia Inc (GAIA) carry?
The net debt of Gaia Inc is $1.3M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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