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Gladstone Investment Corporation (GAIN) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $612M

GI Gladstone Investment Corporation logo Gladstone Investment Corporation GAIN · US
Price$16.59
Fair Value$17.55
Upside+5.8%
Quality49/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 186.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
6.27% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range $13.16 – $21.93 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +1.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$16.92 $7.37 Fair Value $17.55 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.37 – $16.92 · fair‑value band $13.16 – $21.93 · the $16.59 price screens below the $17.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Gladstone Investment Corporation (GAIN) currently trades at $16.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.55, implying the stock looks roughly 5.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $99.1M. Revenue declined 8.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 31.7%. Net debt stands at $441M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $13.16 (bear case) to $21.93 (bull case); at $16.59, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 6%, GAIN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $29.49 $56.07 $97.82 80
Residual Income $11.22 $12.98 $23.88 76
P/E Multiple $15.99 $21.32 $26.65 63
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
5Y P/E Exit $16.56 $38.38 $66.87 38
10Y P/E Exit $21.88 $46.15 $83.26 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $11.15 $77.79 $109.16 54
Lynch FV $40.19 $57.41 $74.63 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple $15.99 $21.32 $26.65 63
P/B Multiple $13.16 $17.55 $21.93 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.27 $8.40 $12.53 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $29.49 $56.07 $97.82 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $11.22 $12.98 $23.88 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based ($57.41) versus Asset-Based ($8.40). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $99.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.6%
Net margin 186%
Return on equity 31.7%
Free cash flow $114M FY2025
P/E ratio 3.2
More key figures
Operating margin 0.0%
EPS (TTM) $4.77
Dividend yield 6.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +327%
Net debt $441M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 13
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 96
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 31
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gladstone Investment Corporation is business development company, specializes in lower middle market, mature stage, buyouts; refinancing existing debt; senior debt securities such as senior loans, senior term loans, lines of credit, and senior notes; senior subordinated debt securities such as senior subordinated loans and senior subordinated notes; junior …

Full company description

Gladstone Investment Corporation is business development company, specializes in lower middle market, mature stage, buyouts; refinancing existing debt; senior debt securities such as senior loans, senior term loans, lines of credit, and senior notes; senior subordinated debt securities such as senior subordinated loans and senior subordinated notes; junior subordinated debt securities such as subordinated notes and mezzanine loans; limited liability company interests, and warrants or options. The fund does not invest in start-ups. The fund seeks to invest in manufacturing, consumer products and business/consumer services sector. It seeks to invest in small and mid-sized companies based in the United States. The fund prefers to make debt investments between $5 million and $30 million and equity investments between $10 million and $40 million in companies. The fund invests in companies with EBITDA from $4 million to $15 million. It seeks minority equity ownership and prefers to hold a board seat in its portfolio companies. It also prefers to take majority stake in its portfolio companies. The fund typically holds the investments for seven years and exits via sale or recapitalization, initial public offering, or sale to third party.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gladstone Investment Corporation reported revenue of $89.9M in FY2025 versus $48.7M in FY2021, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was $65.3M in FY2025, compounding +9.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$89.9M
Latest YoY
−12.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+14.1%
Revenue +16.5%/yr
FY21 $48.7M
FY22 $99.1M
FY23 $32.7M
FY24 $103M
FY25 $89.9M
Net income +9.9%/yr
FY21 $44.8M
FY22 $105M
FY23 $35.5M
FY24 $85.3M
FY25 $65.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gladstone Investment Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GAIN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +6% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 186% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.59× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.23× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 6.18× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 5.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 13.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 5.41× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 41 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 71 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 69

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gladstone Investment Corporation (GAIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.55 versus a price of $16.59, about +6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GAIN?
Our model-based fair value for Gladstone Investment Corporation is $17.55 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $16.59.
What is the quality score of GAIN?
Gladstone Investment Corporation has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Gladstone Investment Corporation (GAIN)?
Gladstone Investment Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $99.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GAIN?
The net profit margin of Gladstone Investment Corporation is about 186.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 186.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Gladstone Investment Corporation pay a dividend?
Gladstone Investment Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.27% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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