Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG CHF 72.06, price CHF 162, upside -55.4%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 139.00 – CHF 365.92 · fair‑value band CHF 69.29 – CHF 76.36 · the CHF 161.50 price screens above the CHF 72.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells electronic control components for building and industrial automation markets. Its products include sensors, monitoring relays, timers, energy management systems, solid state-relays, safety devices, and fieldbus systems.
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Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells electronic control components for building and industrial automation markets. Its products include sensors, monitoring relays, timers, energy management systems, solid state-relays, safety devices, and fieldbus systems. The company offers its products to original equipment manufacturers of packaging machines, plastic injection molding machines, food and beverage production, conveying and material handling equipment, door and entrance control systems, lifts, and escalators, as well as heating, ventilation, and air conditioning devices. It markets its products through a network of sales companies and independent distributors. The company operates in Switzerland, Germany, Austria, Italy, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the United States, Mexico, rest of Americas, China, and rest of Asia. Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG was founded in 1931 and is headquartered in Steinhausen, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV) currently trades at CHF 161.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 72.06, implying the stock looks roughly 124.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of CHF 124.61 per share, and 3 of the 23 models we run sit above the CHF 161.50 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at CHF 21.33, and 20 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: CHF 69.29 (bear) to CHF 76.36 (bull), the price of CHF 161.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG reported revenue of CHF 137M in FY2026 versus CHF 183M in FY2022, a compound −7.0%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 1.8M in FY2026, compounding −46.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap CHF 115M · P/E ratio 62.9 · P/S ratio 0.84 · EPS (TTM) CHF 2.57 · Dividend yield 5.2% · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −55%, GAV screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear CHF 69.29Fair Value CHF 72.06Bull CHF 76.36
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (CHF 1.25 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.39/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.5% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−26.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−31.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−32% vs −17%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+39.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +38.9% a year for the price.
Compare Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 553 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−55% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)5.2% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)62.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.05× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.01× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF232.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA13.3× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)18· sector 58
PAST (return on equity)5· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 23
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GAV
Frequently asked questions
Is Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 72.06 versus a price of CHF 161.50, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GAV?
Our model-based fair value for Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG is CHF 72.06 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 161.50.
What is the quality score of GAV?
Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 72.06 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 69.29, optimistic scenario CHF 76.36. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 72.06, about −55% upside versus a price of CHF 161.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario CHF 69.29, optimistic scenario CHF 76.36. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV)?
Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 137M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG pay a dividend?
Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.18% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG would have to grow free cash flow by +39.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GAV use?
Our models discount Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.30, country premium for Switzerland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG that is +39.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG grew -1.6 % a year. The price currently implies +39.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (+39.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.52 %: that much free cash flow Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG it is CHF 72.06 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of CHF 161.50. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, GAV trades above its calculated fair value: price CHF 161.50, fair value CHF 72.06, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GAV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 161.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 72.06). For Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG the two are CHF 89.44 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG worth?
The market values Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG at about CHF 115M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is CHF 161.50; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 72.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GAV?
Our models span a range for Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG: cautious scenario CHF 69.29, base CHF 72.06, optimistic CHF 76.36 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price CHF 161.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GAV?
Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 62.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of CHF 72.06 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 13.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 1.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GAV from its 52-week high?
Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG trades at CHF 161.50, about 10% below its 52-week high of CHF 180.00 and 16% above the low of CHF 139.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of CHF 72.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Prysmian S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price CHF 161.50, calculated fair value CHF 72.06 (−55%), Quality Score 63/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GAV calculated?
We run Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of CHF 72.06, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was CHF 161.50. Our model-based fair value is CHF 72.06, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 76.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (CHF 69.29 to CHF 76.36), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Where does the earnings growth of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV) come from?
Earnings per share at Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG grew −3.9 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.0 %, EBIT margin −2.8 %, tax rate −0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV)?
The market capitalisation of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG is CHF 115M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG is 0.84 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV)?
Earnings per share at Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG are CHF 2.57 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 62.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV)?
The dividend yield of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG is 5.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV)?
The net margin of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG is 1.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG is 12.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV)?
The operating margin of Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG is 0.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV)?
Revenue at Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG is growing +3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV)?
Earnings per share at Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG are growing −8.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG (GAV) hold?
Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG holds more cash than debt, CHF 36.7M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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