Carlo Gavazzi Holding (GAV) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CH · Market cap CHF 110M
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 20, 2026, revised from CHF 111.59 to CHF 66.99 (−40.0%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price −1.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 56% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 74.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 139.00 – CHF 365.92 · fair‑value band CHF 62.15 – CHF 74.20 · the CHF 153.00 price screens above the CHF 66.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Carlo Gavazzi Holding (GAV) currently trades at CHF 153.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 66.99, implying the stock looks roughly 56.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Carlo Gavazzi Holding generated revenue of CHF 135M at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue grew 6.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of CHF 36.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 62.15 (bear case) to CHF 74.20 (bull case); at CHF 153.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -56%, GAV screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (CHF 124.61) versus Earnings-Based (CHF 21.33). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells electronic control components for building and industrial automation markets. Its products include sensors, monitoring relays, timers, energy management systems, solid state-relays, safety devices, and fieldbus systems.
Full company description
Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells electronic control components for building and industrial automation markets. Its products include sensors, monitoring relays, timers, energy management systems, solid state-relays, safety devices, and fieldbus systems. The company offers its products to original equipment manufacturers of packaging machines, plastic injection molding machines, food and beverage production, conveying and material handling equipment, door and entrance control systems, lifts, and escalators, as well as heating, ventilation, and air conditioning devices. It markets its products through a network of sales companies and independent distributors. The company operates in Switzerland, Germany, Austria, Italy, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the United States, Mexico, rest of Americas, China, and rest of Asia. Carlo Gavazzi Holding AG was founded in 1931 and is headquartered in Steinhausen, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Carlo Gavazzi Holding reported revenue of CHF 137M in FY2026 versus CHF 183M in FY2022, a compound −7.0%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 1.8M in FY2026, compounding −46.4%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +1.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
GAV screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →
Peer Group
Electrical Equipment & Parts · 526 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 | HK$675.50 | HK$391.44 | -42% |
| ABB Ltd ABBN | CHF 83.82 | CHF 35.46 | -58% |
| Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED | 10.16 SGD | 1.47 SGD | -86% |
| LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 | 334,000 KRW | 201,455 KRW | -40% |
| WEG S.A WEGE3 | 13,210 ARS | 7,948 ARS | -40% |
| Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 | ¥114.79 | ¥123.83 | +8% |
| Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 | ¥63.43 | ¥33.04 | -48% |
| HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 | 823,000 KRW | 371,133 KRW | -55% |
| LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 | 190,000 KRW | 31,517 KRW | -83% |
| Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 | ¥151.73 | ¥71.69 | -53% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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