Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Gooch & Housego PLC $3.89, price $16.62, upside -76.6%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.39 – $16.62 · fair‑value band $1.71 – $5.38 · the $16.62 price screens above the $3.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Gooch & Housego PLC engages in the manufacture and sale of acousto-optics, electro-optics, fiber optics, and precision optics and systems in the United Kingdom, North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company operates through A&D, Life Sciences, and Industrial segments.
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Gooch & Housego PLC engages in the manufacture and sale of acousto-optics, electro-optics, fiber optics, and precision optics and systems in the United Kingdom, North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company operates through A&D, Life Sciences, and Industrial segments. It offers acousto-optic products, such as acoustic-optic modulators, deflectors, frequency shifters, mode lockers, pulse pickers, Q-switches, tunable filters, and RF drivers; crystal optics, including crystals and nonlinear optics, lithium niobate wafers, and periodically-poled lithium niobite; and electro-optics, such as pockels cells, lithium niobate Q-switches, and pockels cell drivers. The company also provides fiber optics, such as fiber-coupled acousto-optic modulators, high power combiners, PM and SM couplers, polarization diverse receivers, ruggedized and wideband couplers, and variable optical delay line; precision optics, including beam splitters, corner cubes, optical domes, optical windows and flats, polymer optics, precision lenses, precision mirrors, precision prisms, ring laser gyroscope components, synchrotron mirrors, waveplates, optical bindings, magnetorheological finishing, optical coatings, single point diamond turning, and super polishing; lens systems; and vision systems for armored fighting vehicles, including embedded image periscope and sighting systems, enhanced drivers vision system, saber commander/gunner sights, spares and repairs, specter camera modules, and unity vision periscopes; and medical devices, in-vitro diagnostics, and laboratory instruments. Its products are used in semiconductor and microelectronic, metrology, telecommunications, remote sensing, and scientific research industries. The company serves aerospace and defense, industrial and telecom, life sciences markets. Gooch & Housego PLC was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Ilminster, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF) currently trades at $16.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.89, 76.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $4.79 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the $16.62 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.10, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $1.71 (bear) to $5.38 (bull), the price of $16.62 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Gooch & Housego PLC reported revenue of £150M in FY2025 versus £124M in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was £3.5M in FY2025, compounding +1.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $451M · P/E ratio 87.5 · P/S ratio 2.06 · EPS (TTM) $0.1900 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 2.3% · Return on equity 3.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 179% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −64% fair-value upside, at −77%, GCHHF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($1.10 to $19.53). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $1.71Fair Value $3.89Bull $5.38
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0580 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−1.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 8%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+49.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in GBP, UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +45.8% a year for the price and +8.0% for the forecasts.
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Is Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.89 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $16.62, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GCHHF?
Our model-based fair value for Gooch & Housego PLC is $3.89 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $16.62.
What is the quality score of GCHHF?
Gooch & Housego PLC has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.89 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.71, optimistic scenario $5.38. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gooch & Housego PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.89, about −77% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $16.62 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.71, optimistic scenario $5.38. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF)?
Gooch & Housego PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £161M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Gooch & Housego PLC pay a dividend?
Gooch & Housego PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.79% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Gooch & Housego PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +49.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GCHHF use?
Our models discount Gooch & Housego PLC at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.88, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Gooch & Housego PLC that is +49.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Gooch & Housego PLC grew +4.3 % a year. The price currently implies +49.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +15.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Gooch & Housego PLC (+49.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.90 %: that much free cash flow Gooch & Housego PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gooch & Housego PLC it is $3.89 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $16.62. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gooch & Housego PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GCHHF trades above its calculated fair value: price $16.62, fair value $3.89, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GCHHF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($16.62); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.89). For Gooch & Housego PLC the two are $12.73 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gooch & Housego PLC worth?
The market values Gooch & Housego PLC at about $451M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $16.62; our models calculate a fair value of $3.89 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GCHHF?
Our models span a range for Gooch & Housego PLC: cautious scenario $1.71, base $3.89, optimistic $5.38 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $16.62). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is GCHHF from its 52-week high?
Gooch & Housego PLC trades at $16.62, at its 52-week high of $16.62 and 179% above the low of $5.95 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.89 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gooch & Housego PLC?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gooch & Housego PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $16.62, calculated fair value $3.89 (−77%), Quality Score 48/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GCHHF calculated?
We run Gooch & Housego PLC through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.89, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Gooch & Housego PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $16.62. Our model-based fair value is $3.89, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gooch & Housego PLC right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($1.71 to $5.38). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Gooch & Housego PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF)?
The market capitalisation of Gooch & Housego PLC is $451M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Gooch & Housego PLC is 87.5. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gooch & Housego PLC is 2.06 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF)?
Earnings per share at Gooch & Housego PLC are $0.1900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 87.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF)?
The dividend yield of Gooch & Housego PLC is 0.8% (payout 69.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF)?
The net margin of Gooch & Housego PLC is 2.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gooch & Housego PLC is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gooch & Housego PLC is 5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF)?
The operating margin of Gooch & Housego PLC is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF)?
Revenue at Gooch & Housego PLC is growing +15.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF)?
Earnings per share at Gooch & Housego PLC are growing +12.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Gooch & Housego PLC (GCHHF) carry?
The net debt of Gooch & Housego PLC is £29.9M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026