GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $815M
GCM Grosvenor Inc
GCMG · US
Fair value as of: Aug 7, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 7, 2026, revised from $0.6300 to $6.05 (+860.3%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price +0.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 55% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($3.32 to $8.42) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.37 – $13.81 · fair‑value band $3.32 – $8.42 · the $13.48 price screens above the $6.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.
Analysis
GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) currently trades at $13.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.05, implying the stock looks roughly 55.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, GCM Grosvenor Inc generated revenue of $553M at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue declined 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 98.7%. Net debt stands at $238M. Fundamentals as of Aug 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.32 (bear case) to $8.42 (bull case); at $13.48, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -55%, GCMG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($10.17) versus Asset-Based ($0.1208). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GCM Grosvenor Inc. is global alternative asset management solutions provider. The firm primarily provides its services to pooled investment vehicles. It also provides its services to investment companies, high net worth individuals, pension and profit sharing plans and state or municipal government entities.
Full company description
GCM Grosvenor Inc. is global alternative asset management solutions provider. The firm primarily provides its services to pooled investment vehicles. It also provides its services to investment companies, high net worth individuals, pension and profit sharing plans and state or municipal government entities. The firm invests in equity and alternative investment markets of the United States and internationally. The firm invests in multi-strategy, credit-focused, equity-focused, macro-focused, commodity-focused, and other specialty portfolios. It focuses on hedge fund asset classes, private equity, real estate, and/or infrastructure, credit and absolute return strategies. It also focuses on primary fund investments, secondary fund investments, and co-investments with a focus on buyout, distressed debt, early venture, mid venture, late venture, turnaround, mature, mezzanine, venture capital/growth equity investments. The firm seeks to do seed investments in small, emerging growth, and diverse private equity firms. The firm seeks to make regionally-focused investments in middle-market buyout. It prefers to invest in aerospace and defense, advanced electronics, information technology, biosciences, and advanced materials. It focuses on Europe, Michigan, North Carolina, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Oregon and Washington. The firm employs fundamental and quantitative analysis. It prefers to have majority stakes in its portfolio companies. GCM Grosvenor Inc. was founded in 1971 and is based in Chicago, Illinois with additional offices across North America, Asia, Australia and Europe. GCM Grosvenor Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Grosvenor Capital Management Holdings, LLLP.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GCM Grosvenor Inc reported revenue of $550M in FY2025 versus $578M in FY2021, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was $45.4M in FY2025, compounding +20.6%/yr from FY2021.
GCMG screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- GCM Grosvenor to Announce Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Host Investor Conference Call on August 10, 2026
- GCM Grosvenor Raises $1.2 Billion Across Inaugural Credit Secondaries Fund and Related Strategies
- GCM Grosvenor Expands European Business Development Team with Two Strategic Hires in Frankfurt
- GCM Grosvenor stärkt Geschäftsentwicklung in Europa mit zwei strategischen Neuzugängen in Frankfurt
Peer Group
Asset Management · 973 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fondul Proprietatea SA FP | $0.0420 | $0.0800 | +90% |
| BlackRock, Inc BLK | $1,036 | $504.81 | -51% |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $124.56 | $16.35 | -87% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 394.40 | kr 788.80 | +100% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$62.45 | C$10.12 | -84% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $100.94 | $44.88 | -56% |
| AB Industrivärden INDUA | kr 532.50 | kr 1,065 | +100% |
| Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN | ₹242.98 | ₹40.19 | -83% |
| Hedef Holding HEDEF | 267.25 TRY | 320.98 TRY | +20% |
| Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG | ₹10,398 | ₹9,202 | -12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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