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GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of GCM Grosvenor Inc stock $10.07, price $12.53, that is 19.6% below the price, quality 75 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 11 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services US

GG GCM Grosvenor Inc logo Some data Nov 6, 2026

GCM Grosvenor Inc

GCMG · US
Strong quality, but expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 20% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 75/100
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +4.9 %/yr in USD)
3.8% dividend yield · Low payout
Positive coverage
Profit last quarter +136% vs. a year ago.
Thin margins · 7.9% net margin (TTM)
Wide moat 70/100 · thin data
Insiders sold $1.2M (6M)
Some data
Fair value $10.07 · Overvalued (−19.6%)
Trails peers (4/13)
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$14.05 $5.37 Fair Value $10.07 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.37 – $14.05 · fair‑value band $6.60 – $13.53 · the $12.53 price screens above the $10.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

GCM Grosvenor Inc. is global alternative asset management solutions provider. The firm primarily provides its services to pooled investment vehicles.

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It also provides its services to investment companies, high net worth individuals, pension and profit sharing plans and state or municipal government entities. The firm invests in equity and alternative investment markets of the United States and internationally.

The firm invests in multi-strategy, credit-focused, equity-focused, macro-focused, commodity-focused, and other specialty portfolios. It focuses on hedge fund asset classes, private equity, real estate, and/or infrastructure, credit and absolute return strategies.

It also focuses on primary fund investments, secondary fund investments, and co-investments with a focus on buyout, distressed debt, early venture, mid venture, late venture, turnaround, mature, mezzanine, venture capital/growth equity investments.

The firm seeks to do seed investments in small, emerging growth, and diverse private equity firms. The firm seeks to make regionally-focused investments in middle-market buyout.

It prefers to invest in aerospace and defense, advanced electronics, information technology, biosciences, and advanced materials. It focuses on Europe, Michigan, North Carolina, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Oregon and Washington. The firm employs fundamental and quantitative analysis.

It prefers to have majority stakes in its portfolio companies. GCM Grosvenor Inc. was founded in 1971 and is based in Chicago, Illinois with additional offices across North America, Asia, Australia and Europe. GCM Grosvenor Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Grosvenor Capital Management Holdings, LLLP.

Stock analysis

GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) currently trades at $12.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.07, 20% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $10.07 per share, and 1 of the 11 models we run sit above the $12.53 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $1.48, and 10 of the 11 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $6.60 (bear) to $13.53 (bull), the price of $12.53 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

GCM Grosvenor Inc reported revenue of $550M in FY2025 versus $578M in FY2021, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was $45.4M in FY2025, compounding +20.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $740M Small · P/E ratio 24.1 · P/S ratio 1.99 · EPS (TTM) $0.5200 · Dividend yield 3.8% · Net margin 8.2% · Return on equity 30.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 70 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −20%, GCMG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $6.60 Fair Value $10.07 Bull $13.53
Price $12.53 · Downside -19.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0340 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Growth DCF $8.50 $11.80 $15.82 78
Owner Earnings $5.27 $7.74 $10.91 76
Residual Income $1.20 $1.48 $2.46 74
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $5.27 $7.74 $10.91 76
5Y P/E Exit $6.60 $10.07 $13.55 70
10Y P/E Exit $7.25 $10.19 $13.53 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.05 $13.63 $17.85 65
Lynch FV $2.67 $3.82 $4.96 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.04 $1.88 $2.59 68
DDM Multi-Stage $1.04 $1.52 $1.98 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $7.24 $9.65 $12.06 63
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $8.50 $11.80 $15.82 78
Rev-Margin DCF $5.08 $7.45 $10.14 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.20 $1.48 $2.46 74

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 75/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 66
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 100
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 99
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 54
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 62
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 48
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 58
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 51
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors sold shares worth $1.2M and none bought.

  • SalePamela L BentleyChief Financial Officer2× since Dec 16, 2025: 130,000 shares, avg. $11.99$1.6MSep 16, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleKathleen Patricia SullivanPrincipal Accounting Officer40,000 shares at $13.15$526,150Sep 3, 2026
  • SaleL. P. Cantor Fitzgerald10% owner557,106 shares at $13.63$7.6MJul 16, 2026
  • SaleAngela BlantonDirector41,184 shares at $11.87$488,980Feb 27, 2026

Plus 9 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 5, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 74/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+3.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−10% → 27%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 19.1%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

GCMG screens overvalued: fair value 20% below the price. Compare with Blackstone Inc →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (91 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 593 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −19.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 30.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets 17.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 24.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 26.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 11.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 3.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 15.87× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 24.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B 27.40× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 4.09× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 13.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 18.2× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)7 · sector 59
FUTURE (revenue growth)59 · sector 39
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)77 · sector 80

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Exor N.V EXO €73.20 €139.37 +90% vs GCMG
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $164.82 $281.42 +71% vs GCMG
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $117.27 $197.56 +68% vs GCMG
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $509.32 $609.56 +20% vs GCMG
State Street Corporation STT $165.23 $139.37 −16% vs GCMG
Ares Management Corporation ARES $133.72 $99.35 −26% vs GCMG
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $171.39 $123.42 −28% vs GCMG
Blackstone Inc BX $119.82 $52.29 −56% vs GCMG
Brookfield Corporation BN $41.76 $13.42 −68% vs GCMG
KKR & Co KKR $98.30 $27.32 −72% vs GCMG

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GCM Grosvenor Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GCM Grosvenor Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GCMG

Frequently asked questions

Is GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.07 versus a price of $12.53, about 20% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GCMG?
Our model-based fair value for GCM Grosvenor Inc is $10.07 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.53.
What is the quality score of GCMG?
GCM Grosvenor Inc has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.07 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.60, optimistic scenario $13.53. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GCM Grosvenor Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.07, about 20% lower versus a price of $12.53 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $6.60, optimistic scenario $13.53. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG)?
GCM Grosvenor Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $567M (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does GCM Grosvenor Inc pay a dividend?
GCM Grosvenor Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 3.83% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GCM Grosvenor Inc it is $10.07 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $12.53. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GCM Grosvenor Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, GCMG trades above its calculated fair value: price $12.53, fair value $10.07, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GCMG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.53); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.07). For GCM Grosvenor Inc the two are $2.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GCM Grosvenor Inc worth?
The market values GCM Grosvenor Inc at about $740M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $12.53; our models calculate a fair value of $10.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GCMG?
Our models span a range for GCM Grosvenor Inc: cautious scenario $6.60, base $10.07, optimistic $13.53 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $12.53). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GCMG?
GCM Grosvenor Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.1 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $10.07 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 21.2 (reported for FY2025: 54.5). Other multiples: P/B 27.4, P/S 4.1, EV/EBITDA 18.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG)?
Balance-sheet figures for GCM Grosvenor Inc (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 30.0%, debt of 15.87 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 75/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GCMG from its 52-week high?
GCM Grosvenor Inc trades at $12.53, about 11% below its 52-week high of $14.05 and 34% above the low of $9.34 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GCM Grosvenor Inc?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GCM Grosvenor Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $12.53, calculated fair value $10.07 (−20%), Quality Score 75/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GCMG calculated?
We run GCM Grosvenor Inc through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.07, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. GCM Grosvenor Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was $12.53. Our model-based fair value is $10.07, about 20% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GCM Grosvenor Inc right now?
A high-quality business (quality 75/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. A fairly wide model range ($6.60 to $13.53) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of GCM Grosvenor Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG)?
The market capitalisation of GCM Grosvenor Inc is $740M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GCM Grosvenor Inc is 1.99 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG)?
Earnings per share at GCM Grosvenor Inc are $0.5200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG)?
The dividend yield of GCM Grosvenor Inc is 3.8% (payout 36.0%, on adjusted earnings, reported 92.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG)?
The net margin of GCM Grosvenor Inc is 8.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GCM Grosvenor Inc is 30.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GCM Grosvenor Inc is 12.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG)?
The operating margin of GCM Grosvenor Inc is 26.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG)?
Revenue at GCM Grosvenor Inc is growing +11.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG)?
Earnings per share at GCM Grosvenor Inc are growing +136% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) generate?
The free cash flow of GCM Grosvenor Inc is $175M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) carry?
The net debt of GCM Grosvenor Inc is $238M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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