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Geox S.p.A (GEO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IT · Market cap €104M

GS Geox S.p.A GEO · MI
Price€0.2760
Fair Value€0.8200
Upside+197.1%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Medium Range €0.6200 – €1.03

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from €0.6000 to €0.8200 (+36.7%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −0.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

€0.3497 €0.2441 Fair Value €0.8200 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range €0.2441 – €0.3497 · fair‑value band €0.6200 – €1.03 · the €0.2760 price screens below the €0.8200 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Geox S.p.A (GEO) currently trades at €0.2760, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.8200 — implying the stock looks roughly 197.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Geox S.p.A generated revenue of €609M at a net margin of -2.7%. Revenue declined 11.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -22.7%. Net debt stands at €81.9M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €609M
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.7%
Net margin -2.7%
Return on equity -22.7%
Free cash flow €23.7M FY2025
Operating margin 3.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.0500
EPS growth (YoY) -48.7%
Net debt €81.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Geox S.p.A. creates, produces, promotes, and distributes footwear and apparel to retailers and end consumers in Italy, Europe, and internationally. The company offers shoes and apparel under the Geox brand name through wholesalers and franchising stores, Geox Shops, and e-commerce channels. The company was founded in 1995 and is based in Montebelluna, Italy. Geox S.p.A. operates as a subsidiary of LIR S.r.l.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Geox S.p.A reported revenue of €609M in FY2025 versus €609M in FY2021, a compound −0.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€16.2M in FY2025.

Revenue −0.0%/yr
FY21 €609M
FY22 €736M
FY23 €720M
FY24 €664M
FY25 €609M
Net income
FY21 −€59.7M
FY22 −€13.0M
FY23 −€6.5M
FY24 −€30.3M
FY25 −€16.2M

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Similar stocks

6 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NIKE, Inc NKE €39.88 €32.06 -20%
adidas AG ADDYY $99.68 $63.37 -36%
ASICS Corporation ASCCY $26.56 $19.43 -27%
Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK $105.57 $172.88 +64%
On Holding ONON $36.21 $20.28 -44%
Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 ¥10.63 ¥26.58 +150%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Geox S.p.A (GEO) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.8200 versus a price of €0.2760 — about +197% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of GEO?
Our 21-model fair value for Geox S.p.A is €0.8200 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €0.2760.
What is the quality score of GEO?
Geox S.p.A has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Geox S.p.A (GEO)?
Geox S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €609M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GEO?
The net profit margin of Geox S.p.A is about -2.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.