Global-Estate Resorts Inc (GERI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Global-Estate Resorts Inc PHP 1.03, price PHP 0.59, upside +74.6%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.4600 PHP – 1.29 PHP · fair‑value band 0.5200 PHP – 1.66 PHP · the 0.5900 PHP price screens below the 1.03 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Global-Estate Resorts Inc (GERI) currently trades at 0.5900 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.03 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 42.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 2.22 PHP per share, and 12 of the 16 models we run sit above the 0.5900 PHP price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.1400 PHP, and 4 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.5200 PHP (bear) to 1.66 PHP (bull), the price of 0.5900 PHP sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Global-Estate Resorts Inc reported revenue of 7.5B PHP in FY2025 versus 4.4B PHP in FY2021, a compound +14.3%/yr. Reported net income was 1.9B PHP in FY2025, compounding +10.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 8.7B PHP (≈ $139M) · P/E ratio 7.5 · P/S ratio 1.93 · EPS (TTM) 0.1049 PHP · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 25.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at 75%, GERI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.5200 PHPFair Value 1.03 PHPBull 1.66 PHP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0779 PHP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.3% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+10.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8.0% vs 7.1%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.42% → 33%
Compare Global-Estate Resorts Inc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Operations · 37 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside+74.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets0.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)25.6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Operations median · lower = cheaper
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Is Global-Estate Resorts Inc (GERI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.03 PHP versus a price of 0.5900 PHP, about +75% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GERI?
Our model-based fair value for Global-Estate Resorts Inc is 1.03 PHP (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.5900 PHP.
What is the quality score of GERI?
Global-Estate Resorts Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Global-Estate Resorts Inc (GERI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.03 PHP (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.5200 PHP, optimistic scenario 1.66 PHP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Global-Estate Resorts Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.03 PHP, about +75% upside versus a price of 0.5900 PHP (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.5200 PHP, optimistic scenario 1.66 PHP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Global-Estate Resorts Inc pay a dividend?
Global-Estate Resorts Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.55% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Global-Estate Resorts Inc (GERI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Global-Estate Resorts Inc it is 1.03 PHP per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 0.5900 PHP. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Global-Estate Resorts Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, GERI trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.5900 PHP, fair value 1.03 PHP, a gap of about +75% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GERI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.5900 PHP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.03 PHP). For Global-Estate Resorts Inc the two are 0.4400 PHP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Global-Estate Resorts Inc worth?
The market values Global-Estate Resorts Inc at about 8.7B PHP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 0.5900 PHP; our models calculate a fair value of 1.03 PHP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GERI?
Our models span a range for Global-Estate Resorts Inc: cautious scenario 0.5200 PHP, base 1.03 PHP, optimistic 1.66 PHP per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 0.5900 PHP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GERI?
Global-Estate Resorts Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.5 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.03 PHP is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Global-Estate Resorts Inc (GERI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Global-Estate Resorts Inc (as of Sep 27, 2026): debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GERI from its 52-week high?
Global-Estate Resorts Inc trades at 0.5900 PHP, about 24% below its 52-week high of 0.7800 PHP and 28% above the low of 0.4600 PHP (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.03 PHP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Global-Estate Resorts Inc?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value SMPH, AC, ALI, MEG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Global-Estate Resorts Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 0.5900 PHP, calculated fair value 1.03 PHP (+75%), Quality Score 60/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GERI calculated?
We run Global-Estate Resorts Inc through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.03 PHP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Global-Estate Resorts Inc currently trades 75 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Global-Estate Resorts Inc (GERI)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was 0.5900 PHP. Our model-based fair value is 1.03 PHP, about +75% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Global-Estate Resorts Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide (0.5200 PHP to 1.66 PHP). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Global-Estate Resorts Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Global-Estate Resorts Inc (GERI)?
The market capitalisation of Global-Estate Resorts Inc is 8.7B PHP (≈ $139M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Global-Estate Resorts Inc (GERI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Global-Estate Resorts Inc is 1.93 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Global-Estate Resorts Inc (GERI)?
Earnings per share at Global-Estate Resorts Inc are 0.1049 PHP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Global-Estate Resorts Inc (GERI)?
The dividend yield of Global-Estate Resorts Inc is 2.6% (payout 14.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Global-Estate Resorts Inc (GERI)?
The net margin of Global-Estate Resorts Inc is 25.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Global-Estate Resorts Inc (GERI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Global-Estate Resorts Inc is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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