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GELEX Group (GEX) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · VN · Market cap 33.8T VND

GG GELEX Group GEX · VN
Price24,550 VND
Fair Value22,928 VND
Upside-6.6%
Quality31/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.5% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: Medium Range 15,711 VND – 28,660 VND Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 18,561 VND to 22,928 VND (+23.5%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −15.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (15,711 VND to 28,660 VND) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

45,103 VND 6,980 VND Fair Value 22,928 VND Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 6,980 VND – 45,103 VND · fair‑value band 15,711 VND – 28,660 VND · the 24,550 VND price screens above the 22,928 VND fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

GELEX Group (GEX) currently trades at 24,550 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 22,928 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 6.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, GELEX Group generated revenue of 42.3T VND at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue grew 35.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.6%. Net debt stands at 20.1T VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 15,711 VND (bear case) to 28,660 VND (bull case); at 24,550 VND, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -7%, GEX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 11,330 VND 12,294 VND 15,109 VND 76
ROIC Compounder 34,155 VND 50,637 VND 73,499 VND 72
Gordon GGM 16,748 VND 36,565 VND 61,521 VND 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 7,424 VND 38,304 VND 52,957 VND 54
Lynch FV 10,463 VND 14,947 VND 19,431 VND 50
PEG = 1.0 10,463 VND 14,947 VND 19,431 VND 46
EPV 28,373 VND 34,410 VND 39,776 VND 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 16,748 VND 36,565 VND 61,521 VND 70
DDM Multi-Stage 16,748 VND 29,952 VND 38,106 VND 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 11,464 VND 15,286 VND 19,107 VND 63
P/S Multiple 13,921 VND 18,561 VND 23,201 VND 58
P/B Multiple 13,921 VND 18,561 VND 23,201 VND 55
EV/EBIT 22,671 VND 32,174 VND 41,676 VND 53
EV/EBITDA 22,033 VND 31,323 VND 40,613 VND 54
EV/Revenue 18,684 VND 29,193 VND 39,701 VND 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6,581 VND 8,819 VND 13,162 VND 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 11,330 VND 12,294 VND 15,109 VND 76
ROIC Compounder 34,155 VND 50,637 VND 73,499 VND 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 12,985 VND 18,550 VND 24,115 VND 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (29,952 VND) versus Asset-Based (8,819 VND). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 42.3T VND
Revenue growth (YoY) +35.4%
Net margin 3.5%
Return on equity 10.6%
Free cash flow −5.3T VND FY2025
P/E ratio 28.6
More key figures
Operating margin 11.3%
EPS (TTM) 1,093 VND
EPS growth (YoY) +5.7%
Net debt 20.1T VND FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 47
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

GELEX Group Joint Stock Company primarily engages in the production and sale of electrical equipment principally in Vietnam. The company operates through Industrial Production, Real Estate, and Infrastructure segments. It also offers power cables, transformers, and electrical measuring equipment.

Full company description

GELEX Group Joint Stock Company primarily engages in the production and sale of electrical equipment principally in Vietnam. The company operates through Industrial Production, Real Estate, and Infrastructure segments. It also offers power cables, transformers, and electrical measuring equipment. In addition, the company invests and develops in sectors, such as energy, industrial real estate, affordable housing, worker housing, mid-range residential projects, and social housing; and invests and operates hydropower, solar power, rooftop solar power, and wind power energy projects. Further, it offers building materials, such as sanitary ceramics, shower faucet, autoclaved aerated concrete, sintered stone, ceramic tiles, energy-saving glass, and clear glass, as well as produces and supplies water. Additionally, the company is involved in the development of various infrastructure projects, including transportation, urban infrastructure, energy, and telecommunication. It operates under the CADIVI, EMIC, THIBIDI, HEM, CFT, MEE, Viglacera, and Song Da Clean Water brands. The company was formerly known as Vietnam Electrical Equipment Joint Stock Corporation. GELEX Group Joint Stock Company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Hanoi, Vietnam.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GELEX Group reported revenue of 39.5T VND in FY2025 versus 28.6T VND in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.5T VND in FY2025, compounding +9.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
39.5T VND
Latest YoY
+17.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.1%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+17.1%
Revenue +8.4%/yr
FY21 28.6T VND
FY22 32.1T VND
FY23 30.0T VND
FY24 33.8T VND
FY25 39.5T VND
Net income +9.2%/yr
FY21 1.0T VND
FY22 369B VND
FY23 330B VND
FY24 1.6T VND
FY25 1.5T VND

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GELEX Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GEX

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −7% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 35% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.93× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.90× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.80× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 25 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 57
PAST 42 · sector 26
HEALTH 54 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 18

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is GELEX Group (GEX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 22,928 VND versus a price of 24,550 VND, about −7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GEX?
Our model-based fair value for GELEX Group is 22,928 VND (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 24,550 VND.
What is the quality score of GEX?
GELEX Group has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of GELEX Group (GEX)?
GELEX Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 42.3T VND (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GEX?
The net profit margin of GELEX Group is about 3.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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