Gafisa S.A (GFSA3) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · BR · Market cap R$99.1M
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026 — revised from R$250.79 to R$0.4371 (−99.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −34.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range R$0.6300 – R$19.99 · fair‑value band R$0.3262 – R$0.6530 · the R$0.6300 price screens above the R$0.4371 fair value. As of Jul 13, 2026.
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Gafisa S.A (GFSA3) currently trades at R$0.6300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$0.4371 — implying the stock looks roughly 30.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 14/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at R$493M. Revenue declined 55.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -34.7%. Net debt stands at R$1.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$0.3262 (bear case) to R$0.6530 (bull case); at R$0.6300, the current price sits within that range. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside — at -31%, GFSA3 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Gafisa S.A. operates as a development and construction company under the Gafisa brand name in Brazil. The company is involved in residential, commercial projects. It also offers technical consultancy services, real estate management and construction services, and development and implementation of marketing strategies for real estate projects. Gafisa S.A. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gafisa S.A reported revenue of R$620M in FY2025 versus R$818M in FY2021, a compound −6.7%/yr. Reported net income was −R$545M in FY2025.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.