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Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $6.6B

Price$71.93
Fair Value$142.50
Upside+98.1%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $80.62 – $180.59

Analysis

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) currently trades at $71.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $142.50 — implying the stock looks roughly 98.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a homebuilder and land developer in the United States. It designs, builds, and sells single, and multifamily detached and attached homes in markets for entry-level, move-up, and resort lifestyle buyers under the Taylor Morrison and Esplanade brand names; and develops lifestyle and master-planned communities with single, and multi-family detached and attached homes. The company is also involved in the Build-to-Rent homebuilding business under the Yardly brand name; and provision of financial services, title insurance, and closing settlement services. Taylor Morrison Home Corporation was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.