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Gruma, S.A. (GMKKY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $5.8B

GS Gruma, S.A. logo Gruma, S.A. GMKKY · US
Price$16.96
Fair Value$25.00
Upside+47.4%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $15.72 – $34.90

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $23.44 to $25.00 (+6.7%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −4.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$19.75 $15.99 Fair Value $25.00 Jul 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $15.99 – $19.75 · fair‑value band $15.72 – $34.90 · the $16.96 price screens below the $25.00 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Gruma, S.A. (GMKKY) currently trades at $16.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $25.00 — implying the stock looks roughly 47.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Gruma, S.A. generated revenue of $6.5B at a net margin of 7.7%. Revenue grew 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.6%. Net debt stands at $1.0B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $6.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.9%
Net margin 7.7%
Return on equity 22.6%
Free cash flow $562M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.0
More key figures
Operating margin 11.6%
EPS (TTM) $1.41
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -17.1%
Net debt $1.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Gruma, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a food company in Mexico, the United States, Europe, Asia, Oceania, and Central America. The company operates through Corn Flour and Packaged Tortilla Division (United States); Corn Flour Division (Mexico); Corn Flour and Packaged Tortilla Division (Europe); and Other segments. It engages in the manufacturing and distribution of corn flours. The company also offers grits snacks and cereals, polenta, and prepared flour; corn and wheat tortillas; tortilla chips, taco shells, and toasted tortillas; wraps, such as pita bread, naan, pizza doughs, and other flatbreads; and sauces and dips, including palmito, snacks, marinades, and pasta. In addition, it provides rice and oats; hearts of palm, and packaged tortillas and snacks; and balanced feed for livestock. Further, the company is involved in research and development of nixtamalized corn flour and tortilla manufacturing equipment; production of machinery for nixtamalized…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gruma, S.A. reported revenue of $6.4B in FY2025 versus $4.6B in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was $519M in FY2025, compounding +14.5%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +8.4%/yr
FY21 $4.6B
FY22 $5.6B
FY23 $6.6B
FY24 $6.5B
FY25 $6.4B
Net income +14.5%/yr
FY21 $302M
FY22 $319M
FY23 $429M
FY24 $532M
FY25 $519M

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Similar stocks

6 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

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Nestlé S.A NSRGF $97.58 $65.41 -33%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.10 ¥25.34 -28%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,386 ₹278.10 -80%
Grupo Bimbo, S.A. BIMBOA 57.10 MXN 72.19 MXN +26%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Gruma, S.A. (GMKKY) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $25.00 versus a price of $16.96 — about +47% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of GMKKY?
Our 21-model fair value for Gruma, S.A. is $25.00 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $16.96.
What is the quality score of GMKKY?
Gruma, S.A. has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Gruma, S.A. (GMKKY)?
Gruma, S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.5B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GMKKY?
The net profit margin of Gruma, S.A. is about 7.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Gruma, S.A. pay a dividend?
Gruma, S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.76% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.