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Grupo Nacional Provincial, S.A. (GNP) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · MX · Market cap 25.5B MXN

Price114.00 MXN
Fair Value85.35 MXN
Upside-25.1%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range 64.02 MXN – 106.69 MXN

Analysis

Grupo Nacional Provincial, S.A. (GNP) currently trades at 114.00 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 85.35 MXN — implying the stock looks roughly 25.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Grupo Nacional Provincial, S.A.B. provides various insurance products in Mexico. It offers car and motorcycle, medical expenses, life, education, retirement and savings, home, condominiums - common areas, damage, property, civil liability, transportation risk, accident, SSI, and RC officials and public servants insurance products. The company provides its products and services primarily to individuals, businesses, and public sector customers. The company was incorporated in 1901 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.