Gogia Capital Services Limited (GOGIACAP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Gogia Capital Services Limited ₹9.00, price ₹55.86, upside -83.9%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹20.45 – ₹158.10 · fair‑value band ₹8.28 – ₹9.72 · the ₹55.86 price screens above the ₹9.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Gogia Capital Services Limited provides stock and commodity broking services to corporates and individuals in India. The company offers equity, currency, commodity, and intraday trading services; derivatives; and mutual funds. It also provides depository services. The company was formerly known as Gogia International Securities Ltd.
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Gogia Capital Services Limited provides stock and commodity broking services to corporates and individuals in India. The company offers equity, currency, commodity, and intraday trading services; derivatives; and mutual funds. It also provides depository services. The company was formerly known as Gogia International Securities Ltd. and changed its name to Gogia Capital Services Limited in April 2009. Gogia Capital Services Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
Gogia Capital Services Limited (GOGIACAP) currently trades at ₹55.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹9.00, 83.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹54.45 per share, and 1 of the 13 models we run sit above the ₹55.86 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹6.17, and 12 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹8.28 (bear) to ₹9.72 (bull), the price of ₹55.86 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Other sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Gogia Capital Services Limited reported revenue of ₹18.9M in FY2023 versus ₹36.4M in FY2019, a compound −15.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹20.5M in FY2023, compounding +4.1%/yr from FY2019.
Key figures
Market cap ₹719M (≈ $7.5M) · P/S ratio 8.97 · EPS (TTM) ₹5.61 · Net margin 108% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.5% · Operating margin 62.1% · Revenue growth (YoY) −22.8% · EPS growth (YoY) −29.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Other peers we cover trades at 28% fair-value upside, at −84%, GOGIACAP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹8.28Fair Value ₹9.00Bull ₹9.72
Price ₹55.86 · Upside -83.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.11/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−69.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.7%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+3.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2018 to 2023 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.31% → 0%
Compare Gogia Capital Services Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other · 113 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−83.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets8.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)44.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)62.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−22.8% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.09× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 23
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gogia Capital Services Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GOGIACAP
Frequently asked questions
Is Gogia Capital Services Limited (GOGIACAP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹9.00 versus a price of ₹55.86, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GOGIACAP?
Our model-based fair value for Gogia Capital Services Limited is ₹9.00 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹55.86.
What is the quality score of GOGIACAP?
Gogia Capital Services Limited has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gogia Capital Services Limited (GOGIACAP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹9.00 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹8.28, optimistic scenario ₹9.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gogia Capital Services Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹9.00, about −84% upside versus a price of ₹55.86 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹8.28, optimistic scenario ₹9.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Gogia Capital Services Limited (GOGIACAP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gogia Capital Services Limited it is ₹9.00 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹55.86. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gogia Capital Services Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, GOGIACAP trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹55.86, fair value ₹9.00, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GOGIACAP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹55.86); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹9.00). For Gogia Capital Services Limited the two are ₹46.86 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gogia Capital Services Limited worth?
The market values Gogia Capital Services Limited at about ₹719M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹55.86; our models calculate a fair value of ₹9.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GOGIACAP?
Our models span a range for Gogia Capital Services Limited: cautious scenario ₹8.28, base ₹9.00, optimistic ₹9.72 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹55.86). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is GOGIACAP from its 52-week high?
Gogia Capital Services Limited trades at ₹55.86, about 42% below its 52-week high of ₹96.99 and 23% above the low of ₹45.45 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹9.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gogia Capital Services Limited?
From the same area (Other) we also value 542772, 532468, 590024, Indiabulls Real Estate Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gogia Capital Services Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹55.86, calculated fair value ₹9.00 (−84%), Quality Score 45/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GOGIACAP calculated?
We run Gogia Capital Services Limited through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹9.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Gogia Capital Services Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gogia Capital Services Limited (GOGIACAP)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ₹55.86. Our model-based fair value is ₹9.00, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gogia Capital Services Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹9.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Gogia Capital Services Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Gogia Capital Services Limited (GOGIACAP)?
The market capitalisation of Gogia Capital Services Limited is ₹719M (≈ $7.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gogia Capital Services Limited (GOGIACAP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gogia Capital Services Limited is 8.97 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gogia Capital Services Limited (GOGIACAP)?
Earnings per share at Gogia Capital Services Limited are ₹5.61. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Gogia Capital Services Limited (GOGIACAP)?
The net margin of Gogia Capital Services Limited is 108% (fiscal year 2023). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gogia Capital Services Limited (GOGIACAP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gogia Capital Services Limited is 3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gogia Capital Services Limited (GOGIACAP)?
The operating margin of Gogia Capital Services Limited is 62.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gogia Capital Services Limited (GOGIACAP)?
Revenue at Gogia Capital Services Limited is growing −22.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −25.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gogia Capital Services Limited (GOGIACAP)?
Earnings per share at Gogia Capital Services Limited are growing −29.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Gogia Capital Services Limited (GOGIACAP) generate?
The free cash flow of Gogia Capital Services Limited is −₹265M (fiscal year 2023). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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