GMM Grammy Public Company (GRAMMY) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · TH · Market cap 2.3B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +11.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 36% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.14 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The models converge in a tight band (1.89 THB to 2.14 THB), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2.82 THB – 16.80 THB · fair‑value band 1.89 THB – 2.14 THB · the 3.14 THB price screens above the 2.02 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
GMM Grammy Public Company (GRAMMY) currently trades at 3.14 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.02 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 35.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, GMM Grammy Public Company generated revenue of 5.8B THB at a net margin of -0.8%. Revenue declined 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.5%. Net debt stands at 590M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.89 THB (bear case) to 2.14 THB (bull case); at 3.14 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -36%, GRAMMY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (5.59 THB) versus Earnings-Based (1.92 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GMM Grammy Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the music, satellite television (TV), digital TV, movies, home shopping, and co-investment in other businesses in Thailand. The company operates through Music, Media, and Others segments. The Music segment engages in music business and operates showbiz under GMM SHOW name.
Full company description
GMM Grammy Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the music, satellite television (TV), digital TV, movies, home shopping, and co-investment in other businesses in Thailand. The company operates through Music, Media, and Others segments. The Music segment engages in music business and operates showbiz under GMM SHOW name. The Media segment comprises of digital TV business GMM25. The Other segment consists of merchandise and other services, such as home shopping, satellite box, and satellite television platform, as well as offers films and others. The Other segment consists of merchandise and other services, such as home shopping, satellite box, and satellite television platform, as well as offers films and others. It also provides wholesale and retail services through advertising media services and receives phone and E-commerce orders; production and distribution of satellite television and digital TV, films, and television programmers and digital TV broadcasting programs; vocal schools; and SMS services. In addition, the company offers services, such as artist selection, music production, marketing, music copyrights management, physical and digital music distribution, concerts and festivals organizing, and artist management; and home shopping platform under the GMM O Shopping name, which include digital and satellite TV, and online channels. Further, it provides media services, including digital television services, as well as operates a school for singers, musicians, and actors. The company was formerly known as Grammy Entertainment Public Company Limited and changed its name to GMM Grammy Public Company Limited in 2001. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand. GMM Grammy Public Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Fahdamrongchaitham CO.,LTD.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GMM Grammy Public Company reported revenue of 5.8B THB in FY2025 versus 3.8B THB in FY2021, a compound +11.0%/yr. Reported net income was −65.5M THB in FY2025.
GRAMMY screens 36% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Peer Group
Entertainment · 265 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc ZNFL | C$6.77 | C$2.96 | -56% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $96.30 | $89.55 | -7% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $26.87 | $9.13 | -66% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $178.44 | $46.89 | -74% |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €18.91 | €14.78 | -22% |
| TKO Group TKO | $184.40 | $22.16 | -88% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 60.49 MXN | +10% |
| Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 | ¥11.77 | ¥10.97 | -7% |
| PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN | 456.00 IDR | 221.09 IDR | -52% |
| Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS | ₹298.25 | ₹63.45 | -79% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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