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GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited THB 1.71, price THB 4.26, upside -59.9%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · TH · ISIN TH0473010Z09

GG Thin data Sep 24, 2026

GMM Grammy Public Company Limited

GRAMMY · BK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 1.71 THB · Strongly overvalued (−60%)
!Quality 41/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +3.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Narrow moat 30/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

16.80 THB 2.82 THB Fair Value 1.71 THB Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.82 THB – 16.80 THB · fair‑value band 1.66 THB – 2.08 THB · the 4.26 THB price screens above the 1.71 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

GMM Grammy Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the music, satellite television (TV), digital TV, movies, home shopping, and co-investment in other businesses in Thailand. The company operates through Music, Media, and Others segments. The Music segment engages in music business and operates showbiz under GMM SHOW name.

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GMM Grammy Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the music, satellite television (TV), digital TV, movies, home shopping, and co-investment in other businesses in Thailand. The company operates through Music, Media, and Others segments. The Music segment engages in music business and operates showbiz under GMM SHOW name. The Media segment comprises of digital TV business GMM25. The Other segment consists of merchandise and other services, such as home shopping, satellite box, and satellite television platform, as well as offers films and others. The Other segment consists of merchandise and other services, such as home shopping, satellite box, and satellite television platform, as well as offers films and others. It also provides wholesale and retail services through advertising media services and receives phone and E-commerce orders; production and distribution of satellite television and digital TV, films, and television programmers and digital TV broadcasting programs; vocal schools; and SMS services. In addition, the company offers services, such as artist selection, music production, marketing, music copyrights management, physical and digital music distribution, concerts and festivals organizing, and artist management; and home shopping platform under the GMM O Shopping name, which include digital and satellite TV, and online channels. Further, it provides media services, including digital television services, as well as operates a school for singers, musicians, and actors. The company was formerly known as Grammy Entertainment Public Company Limited and changed its name to GMM Grammy Public Company Limited in 2001. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand. GMM Grammy Public Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Fahdamrongchaitham CO.,LTD.

Stock analysis

GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY) currently trades at 4.26 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.71 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 149.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 5.27 THB per share, and 9 of the 14 models we run sit above the 4.26 THB price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 1.74 THB, and 5 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 1.66 THB (bear) to 2.08 THB (bull), the price of 4.26 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

GMM Grammy Public Company Limited reported revenue of 5.8B THB in FY2025 versus 3.8B THB in FY2021, a compound +11.0%/yr. Reported net income was −65.5M THB in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.5B THB (≈ $105M) · P/S ratio 0.41 · EPS (TTM) −0.0600 THB · Net margin −1.1% · Return on equity −0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6% · Operating margin 13.2% · Revenue (TTM) 5.8B THB.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −60%, GRAMMY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1.66 THB Fair Value 1.71 THB Bull 2.08 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 5.78 THB 6.98 THB 8.90 THB 82
Growth DCF 5.90 THB 7.02 THB 8.69 THB 80
Owner Earnings 3.87 THB 4.57 THB 5.70 THB 78
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 5.78 THB 6.98 THB 8.90 THB 82
Owner Earnings 3.87 THB 4.57 THB 5.70 THB 78
5Y Revenue Exit 3.98 THB 4.57 THB 5.42 THB 74
5Y EBITDA Exit 5.85 THB 7.80 THB 10.39 THB 76
10Y Revenue Exit 4.80 THB 5.27 THB 5.71 THB 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 5.79 THB 6.97 THB 8.20 THB 70
Earnings-Based
EPV 1.68 THB 1.74 THB 1.79 THB 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT 2.86 THB 3.42 THB 3.98 THB 66
EV/EBITDA 6.70 THB 8.54 THB 10.38 THB 67
EV/Revenue 2.45 THB 3.00 THB 3.54 THB 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.66 THB 3.56 THB 5.31 THB 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 5.90 THB 7.02 THB 8.69 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 3.98 THB 4.70 THB 5.66 THB 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 1.68 THB 1.74 THB 1.79 THB 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 8
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 35/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.8% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.4% (2019) → 2.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.4% a year for the price.

GRAMMY screens 149% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 263 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Below median
Fair Value upside −60% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.03× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 13.24× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 5
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 46

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $72.16 $79.38 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $103.46 $100.87 −3%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $30.83 $13.47 −56%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $169.84 $64.71 −62%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.55 €16.00 +10%
TKO Group TKO $188.87 $95.50 −49%
Formula One Group FWONK $94.62 $104.08 +10%
Fox Corporation FOXA $63.96 $89.49 +40%
Roku, Inc ROKU $153.49 $42.88 −72%
News Corporation NWS A$45.40 A$29.85 −34%

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GMM Grammy Public Company Limited · Fair Value
1.71 THB −149%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GMM Grammy Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GRAMMY

Frequently asked questions

Is GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.71 THB versus a price of 4.26 THB, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GRAMMY?
Our model-based fair value for GMM Grammy Public Company Limited is 1.71 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4.26 THB.
What is the quality score of GRAMMY?
GMM Grammy Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.71 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.66 THB, optimistic scenario 2.08 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GMM Grammy Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.71 THB, about −60% upside versus a price of 4.26 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.66 THB, optimistic scenario 2.08 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY)?
GMM Grammy Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.8B THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GMM Grammy Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -5.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GRAMMY use?
Our models discount GMM Grammy Public Company Limited at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.12, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GMM Grammy Public Company Limited that is -5.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at GMM Grammy Public Company Limited grew +3.2 % a year. The price currently implies -5.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (-5.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.76 %: that much free cash flow GMM Grammy Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GMM Grammy Public Company Limited it is 1.71 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 4.26 THB. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GMM Grammy Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GRAMMY trades above its calculated fair value: price 4.26 THB, fair value 1.71 THB, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GRAMMY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4.26 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.71 THB). For GMM Grammy Public Company Limited the two are 2.55 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GMM Grammy Public Company Limited worth?
The market values GMM Grammy Public Company Limited at about 3.5B THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 4.26 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 1.71 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GRAMMY?
Our models span a range for GMM Grammy Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 1.66 THB, base 1.71 THB, optimistic 2.08 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 4.26 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of GRAMMY?
The PEG ratio of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited is 13.24 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY)?
Balance-sheet figures for GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.5%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GRAMMY from its 52-week high?
GMM Grammy Public Company Limited trades at 4.26 THB, about 12% below its 52-week high of 4.82 THB and 51% above the low of 2.82 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.71 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GMM Grammy Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GMM Grammy Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 4.26 THB, calculated fair value 1.71 THB (−60%), Quality Score 41/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GRAMMY calculated?
We run GMM Grammy Public Company Limited through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.71 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. GMM Grammy Public Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 4.26 THB. Our model-based fair value is 1.71 THB, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GMM Grammy Public Company Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.08 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY)?
The market capitalisation of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited is 3.5B THB (≈ $105M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited is 0.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY)?
Earnings per share at GMM Grammy Public Company Limited are −0.0600 THB. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY)?
The net margin of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited is −1.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited is −0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY)?
The operating margin of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited is 13.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY)?
Revenue at GMM Grammy Public Company Limited is growing −3.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY)?
Earnings per share at GMM Grammy Public Company Limited are growing +15.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does GMM Grammy Public Company Limited (GRAMMY) carry?
The net debt of GMM Grammy Public Company Limited is 590M THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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