Grupo Bimbo, S.A. (GRBMF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $14.4B
Grupo Bimbo, S.A.
GRBMF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $4.42 to $3.13 (−29.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $2.30 – $3.93 · fair‑value band $1.60 – $3.91 · the $3.18 price screens above the $3.13 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.
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Grupo Bimbo, S.A. (GRBMF) currently trades at $3.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.13, implying the stock looks roughly 1.6% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Grupo Bimbo, S.A. generated revenue of $424B at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue declined 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at $180B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.60 (bear case) to $3.91 (bull case); at $3.18, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at -2%, GRBMF screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, and markets bakery products. It offers sliced bread, buns and rolls, pastries, cakes, cookies, toast, English muffins, bagels, tortillas and flatbreads, and salty snacks. The company operates Mexico, North America, Central America, Latin America, Europe and Africa, and Asia. Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1945 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Grupo Bimbo, S.A. reported revenue of $427B in FY2025 versus $349B in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was $11.1B in FY2025, compounding −8.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. Announces Strategic Board Appointments and Retains New Innovation Strategic Consultant
- Is Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO) A Good Stock To Buy Now?
- Bimbo Bakeries USA Announces Sweeping Portfolio Commitments to Advance Nutrition and Cleaner Label
- Grupo Bimbo Surpasses 500,000 Hectares Under Regenerative Agriculture Practices
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,402 | ₹362.37 | -74% |
| Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 | 73.80 TWD | 61.57 TWD | -17% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,218 | ₹3,567 | -32% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,131 | ₹339.05 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,250 IDR | 10,177 IDR | +63% |
| PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk INDF | 6,800 IDR | 25,554 IDR | +276% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,000,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | +1% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,900 VND | 70,912 VND | +20% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹420.45 | ₹294.68 | -30% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,850 IDR | 2,719 IDR | +47% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.