GRM Overseas Limited (GRMOVER) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹19.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −2.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 36% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹76.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (₹28.78 to ₹76.15). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
47‑month range ₹38.75 – ₹171.12 · fair‑value band ₹28.78 – ₹76.15 · the ₹89.66 price screens above the ₹57.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
GRM Overseas Limited (GRMOVER) currently trades at ₹89.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹57.76, implying the stock looks roughly 35.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, GRM Overseas Limited generated revenue of ₹17.7B at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue grew 105.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.7%. Net debt stands at ₹2.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹28.78 (bear case) to ₹76.15 (bull case); at ₹89.66, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -36%, GRMOVER screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹110.42) versus Dividend Discount (₹2.10). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GRM Overseas Limited engages in the milling, processing, and marketing of branded and non-branded basmati rice in India. The company offers spices; and chakki fresh atta, as well as a ready-to-cook biryani kit. The company markets its products under 10X, Tanoush, Shakti, and Himalaya River brands.
Full company description
GRM Overseas Limited engages in the milling, processing, and marketing of branded and non-branded basmati rice in India. The company offers spices; and chakki fresh atta, as well as a ready-to-cook biryani kit. The company markets its products under 10X, Tanoush, Shakti, and Himalaya River brands. The company also exports its products to the Middle East, the United Kingdom, and the United States, and internationally. GRM Overseas Limited was founded in 1974 and is based in Panipat, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
GRM Overseas Limited reported revenue of ₹17.7B in FY2026 versus ₹11.3B in FY2022, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹743M in FY2026, compounding −3.0%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +12.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
GRMOVER screens 36% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 652 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,507 | ₹362.37 | -76% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,646 | ₹1,870 | -67% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,062 | ₹327.27 | -69% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 7,550 IDR | 12,864 IDR | +70% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,219,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -17% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹352.60 | ₹144.77 | -59% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 61,600 VND | 52,858 VND | -14% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,665 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +62% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,630 IDR | 4,350 IDR | -6% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 389,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +36% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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