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Grupo Herdez, S.A. (GUZOF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $946M

Price$2.94
Fair Value$6.61
Upside+124.8%
Quality80/100
Evidence: Medium Range $4.44 – $8.26

Analysis

Grupo Herdez, S.A. (GUZOF) currently trades at $2.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.61 — implying the stock looks roughly 124.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 80/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Grupo Herdez, S.A.B. de C.V., a food company, provides processed food in Mexico and internationally. It operates through Momentum, Canned Food, and Export segments. The company offers organic food; pasta; pasta, spicy, ketchup-type, homemade, hot, Worcestershire, soy, teriyaki, cooking, refrigerated, and taco sauces; coffee and coffee capsules; olives; chilies, dips, salsas, seasonings, tortillas, and tortilla chips; prepared drinks; ground tomato; frozen Mexican dishes; moles; canned vegetables; goat and mozzarella cheese; mustard; frozen popsicles and ice cream; tuna, beans, dips, guacamole, and vegetable juice; and enchiladas. It also provides hummus, dry jocoque, and pita bread; salad dressings, spices, mayonnaise, jams, and teas; yogurt; healthy snacks and food supplements; processed avocado; nutrition bars, confectionery, and baking flour; tomato puree; legumes; honey; marmalade; and household packaging, such as aluminum foil, as well as plastic, waxed, and resealable bags. In…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.