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Golden Valley Bancshares, Inc (GVYB) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $51.6M

GV Golden Valley Bancshares, Inc logo Golden Valley Bancshares, Inc GVYB · US
Price$26.99
Fair Value$27.35
Upside+1.3%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 25.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range $20.52 – $34.19 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +3.8% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$26.99 $7.67 Fair Value $27.35 Jul 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.67 – $26.99 · fair‑value band $20.52 – $34.19 · the $26.99 price screens below the $27.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Golden Valley Bancshares, Inc (GVYB) currently trades at $26.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $27.35, implying the stock looks roughly 1.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Golden Valley Bancshares, Inc generated revenue of $19.9M at a net margin of 25.6%. Revenue grew 24.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $17.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $20.52 (bear case) to $34.19 (bull case); at $26.99, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 1%, GVYB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $15.99 $17.34 $19.46 76
Gordon GGM $9.99 $16.73 $21.71 70
P/E Multiple $20.52 $27.35 $34.19 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $9.99 $16.73 $21.71 70
DDM Multi-Stage $9.99 $15.87 $18.00 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $20.52 $27.35 $34.19 63
P/B Multiple $20.62 $27.49 $34.37 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.82 $13.16 $19.64 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $15.99 $17.34 $19.46 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($27.35) versus Asset-Based ($13.16). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $19.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) +24.9%
Net margin 25.6%
Return on equity 12.4%
Free cash flow $4.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.4
More key figures
Operating margin 25.1%
EPS (TTM) $2.25
EPS growth (YoY) +59.5%
Net cash $17.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 90

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 86
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 95
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Golden Valley Bancshares, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Golden Valley Bank that provides various commercial banking products and services to small to middle-market businesses, professionals, and not-for-profit organizations. It offers checking, money market, individual retirement, and savings accounts, as well as certificate of deposits.

Full company description

Golden Valley Bancshares, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Golden Valley Bank that provides various commercial banking products and services to small to middle-market businesses, professionals, and not-for-profit organizations. It offers checking, money market, individual retirement, and savings accounts, as well as certificate of deposits. The company also offers home, real estate, equipment financing, and small business administration loans, as well as operating lines of credit. In addition, it provides online and mobile banking, bill pay, automated clearing house, merchant, e-deposit, payroll, wire manager, and positive pay services, as well as debit and credit cards. Further, the company operates full-service offices in Redding and Oroville, California. The company was formerly known as Golden Valley Bank (Chico, CA) and changed its name to Golden Valley Bancshares, Inc. in November 2020. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Chico, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Golden Valley Bancshares, Inc reported revenue of $27.2M in FY2025 versus $16.8M in FY2021, a compound +12.7%/yr. Reported net income was $4.6M in FY2025, compounding −2.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 92/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$27.2M
Latest YoY
+20.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.6%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.8%
Revenue +12.7%/yr
FY21 $16.8M
FY22 $17.0M
FY23 $20.4M
FY24 $22.6M
FY25 $27.2M
Net income −2.7%/yr
FY21 $5.2M
FY22 $4.6M
FY23 $3.8M
FY24 $3.2M
FY25 $4.6M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +11.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +15.3 pp

of which total revenue +14.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.9 pp

EBIT margin −3.9 pp
Tax rate +0.8 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Golden Valley Bancshares, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GVYB

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +1% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 26% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.71× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.20× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.59× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 10.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 35 · sector 39
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 50 · sector 41
HEALTH 64 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Golden Valley Bancshares, Inc (GVYB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $27.35 versus a price of $26.99, about +1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GVYB?
Our model-based fair value for Golden Valley Bancshares, Inc is $27.35 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $26.99.
What is the quality score of GVYB?
Golden Valley Bancshares, Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Golden Valley Bancshares, Inc (GVYB)?
Golden Valley Bancshares, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $19.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GVYB?
The net profit margin of Golden Valley Bancshares, Inc is about 25.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 25.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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