HSBC Holdings (HBC1) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · DE · Market cap €294B
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price +15.0% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range €10.08 – €17.31 · fair‑value band €12.95 – €21.59 · the €17.31 price screens above the €17.27 fair value. As of Jul 11, 2026.
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HSBC Holdings (HBC1) currently trades at €17.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €17.27 — implying the stock looks roughly 0.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, HSBC Holdings generated revenue of €63.8B at a net margin of 35.0%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.6%. Net debt stands at €257B. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €12.95 (bear case) to €21.59 (bull case); at €17.31, the current price sits within that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 65% fair-value upside — at 0%, HBC1 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
HSBC Holdings plc engages in the provision of banking and financial products and services worldwide. It operates through four segments: Hong Kong, UK, Corporate and Institutional Banking, and International Wealth and Premier Banking. The Hong Kong segment is involved in the retail banking and wealth and commercial banking of HSBC Hong Kong and Hang Seng Bank. The UK segment engages in UK retail banking and wealth, as well as first direct and M&S Bank, UK Commercial Banking, and HSBC Innovation Bank. The Corporate and Institutional Banking segment is involved in transaction banking and capital markets. The International Wealth and Premier Banking segment is involved in the business comprising premier banking outside of Hong Kong and the UK, its private bank, asset management, and insurance businesses. The company was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HSBC Holdings reported revenue of €151B in FY2025 versus €73.9B in FY2021, a compound +19.5%/yr. Reported net income was €22.8B in FY2025, compounding +13.1%/yr from FY2021.
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| China Construction Bank Corporation 601939 | ¥9.94 | ¥16.38 | +65% |
| Agricultural Bank of China Limited 601288 | ¥6.36 | ¥12.72 | +100% |
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| Wells Fargo & Company WFC | $81.97 | $70.17 | -14% |
| Royal Bank of Canada RY | C$275.76 | C$551.52 | +100% |
| Citigroup Inc C | 2,345 MXN | 1,724 MXN | -26% |
| Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group M1UF34 | R$102.50 | R$68.76 | -33% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.