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Hiscox Ltd (HCXLY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $7.6B

HL Hiscox Ltd logo Hiscox Ltd HCXLY · US
Price$49.70
Fair Value$49.17
Upside-1.1%
Quality69/100
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Evidence: High Range $36.88 – $61.47

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from $42.77 to $49.17 (+15.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.5% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$52.48 $25.03 Fair Value $49.17 Jan 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $25.03 – $52.48 · fair‑value band $36.88 – $61.47 · the $49.70 price screens above the $49.17 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Hiscox Ltd (HCXLY) currently trades at $49.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $49.17 — implying the stock looks roughly 1.1% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hiscox Ltd generated revenue of $4.0B at a net margin of 15.0%. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $45.7M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $36.88 (bear case) to $61.47 (bull case); at $49.70, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 70% fair-value upside — at -1%, HCXLY screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.7%
Net margin 15.0%
Return on equity 15.8%
Free cash flow $71.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.6
More key figures
Operating margin 22.1%
EPS (TTM) $3.50
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +4.3%
Net cash $45.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Hiscox Ltd, through its subsidiaries, provides insurance and reinsurance services in the United Kingdom, Europe, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Hiscox Retail, Hiscox London Market, and Hiscox Re segments. The company offers commercial insurance, such as emerging professions, media and tech, and small business insurance; and personal lines, including high-value homes and fine art, as well as artwork, antiques, classic cars, jewelry, collectables, and other assets through brokers, partners, and direct-to-consumers. It also provides property insurance; marine, specialty, cyber, and energy insurance; casualty insurance; terrorism, kidnap, and ransom insurance; and other specialty insurance products. In addition, the company offers property and casualty reinsurance services, as well as investment services. Hiscox Ltd was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hiscox Ltd reported revenue of $5.4B in FY2025 versus $3.1B in FY2021, a compound +14.9%/yr. Reported net income was $606M in FY2025, compounding +33.7%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +14.9%/yr
FY21 $3.1B
FY22 $3.0B
FY23 $3.7B
FY24 $5.1B
FY25 $5.4B
Net income +33.7%/yr
FY21 $190M
FY22 $254M
FY23 $712M
FY24 $627M
FY25 $606M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hiscox Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HCXLY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

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Chubb Limited C1BL34 R$430.51 R$86.39 -80%
The Progressive Corporation PGR $207.38 $335.04 +62%
Tokio Marine Holdings TKOMF $42.16 $41.60 -1%
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The Allstate Corporation ALL $223.34 $446.68 +100%
The People's Insurance Company 601319 ¥6.78 ¥13.56 +100%
PICC Property and Casualty Company PPCCY $49.08 $83.45 +70%
MS&AD Insurance Group MSADF $29.91 $57.59 +93%
Sompo Holdings SMPNY $19.53 $36.39 +86%
Intact Financial Corporation IFCZF $205.53 $174.50 -15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hiscox Ltd (HCXLY) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $49.17 versus a price of $49.70 — about −1% (fairly valued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of HCXLY?
Our model-based fair value for Hiscox Ltd is $49.17 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $49.70.
What is the quality score of HCXLY?
Hiscox Ltd has a Quality Score of 69/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Hiscox Ltd (HCXLY)?
Hiscox Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.0B (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HCXLY?
The net profit margin of Hiscox Ltd is about 15.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hiscox Ltd pay a dividend?
Hiscox Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.10% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.