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The Home Depot, Inc (HD) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $311B

TH The Home Depot, Inc logo The Home Depot, Inc HD · US
Price$324.45
Fair Value$236.85
Upside-27.0%
Quality57/100
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Evidence: High Range $130.47 – $324.54

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price +15.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$376.03 $267.70 Fair Value $236.85 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $267.70 – $376.03 · fair‑value band $130.47 – $324.54 · the $324.45 price screens above the $236.85 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

The Home Depot, Inc (HD) currently trades at $324.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $236.85 — implying the stock looks roughly 27.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, The Home Depot, Inc generated revenue of $167B at a net margin of 8.4%. Revenue grew 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 128.4%. Net debt stands at $64.0B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $167B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.8%
Net margin 8.4%
Return on equity 128%
Free cash flow $12.6B FY2026
P/E ratio 22.2
More key figures
Operating margin 11.9%
EPS (TTM) $14.08
Dividend yield 2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -4.3%
Net debt $64.0B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

The Home Depot, Inc. operates as a home improvement retailer in the United States and internationally. It sells various building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden products, and décor products, as well as facilities maintenance, repair, and operations products. The company also offers installation services for flooring, water heaters, baths, garage doors, cabinets, cabinet makeovers, countertops, sheds, furnaces and central air systems, windows, and window coverings. In addition, it provides tool and equipment rental services. The company serves consumers, such as do-it-yourself homeowners and do-it-for-me customers; and professional renovators/remodelers, general contractors, homebuilders, maintenance professionals, handymen, property managers, building service contractors and specialty tradespeople, such as electricians, landscapers, insulation installers, plumbers, painters, pool contractors, roofers, and wallboard and ceiling installers. It sells its products …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

The Home Depot, Inc reported revenue of $165B in FY2026 versus $151B in FY2022, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was $14.2B in FY2026, compounding −3.7%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue +2.2%/yr
FY22 $151B
FY23 $157B
FY24 $153B
FY25 $160B
FY26 $165B
Net income −3.7%/yr
FY22 $16.4B
FY23 $17.1B
FY24 $15.1B
FY25 $14.8B
FY26 $14.2B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

6 more Home Improvement Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Lowe's Companies, Inc LOW $210.74 $136.47 -35%
Wesfarmers Limited WFAFY $30.05 $15.13 -50%
Kingfisher plc KGFHF $3.75 $3.61 -4%
Floor & Decor Holdings FND $49.34 $22.01 -55%
Mr D.I.Y. Group 5296 1.63 MYR 1.47 MYR -10%
Home Product Center Public Company HMPROR 6.15 THB 8.14 THB +32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Home Depot, Inc (HD) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $236.85 versus a price of $324.45 — about −27% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of HD?
Our model-based fair value for The Home Depot, Inc is $236.85 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $324.45.
What is the quality score of HD?
The Home Depot, Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of The Home Depot, Inc (HD)?
The Home Depot, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $167B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HD?
The net profit margin of The Home Depot, Inc is about 8.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The Home Depot, Inc pay a dividend?
The Home Depot, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.23% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.