Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $6.2B
Floor & Decor Holdings
FND · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +16.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($41.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($18.98 to $41.02) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $43.49 – $143.31 · fair‑value band $18.98 – $41.02 · the $62.69 price screens above the $32.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) currently trades at $62.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $32.81, implying the stock looks roughly 47.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Floor & Decor Holdings generated revenue of $4.7B at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue declined 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at $3.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $18.98 (bear case) to $41.02 (bull case); at $62.69, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at -48%, FND screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($51.73) versus Dividend Discount ($0.3100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a multi-channel specialty retailer of hard surface flooring and related accessories, and commercial surfaces seller in the United States.
Full company description
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a multi-channel specialty retailer of hard surface flooring and related accessories, and commercial surfaces seller in the United States. The company offers wood-based laminate flooring, vinyl, and engineered/composite rigid core vinyl; porcelain and ceramic tile, porcelain mosaics and tile slabs; grout, mortar, backer board, tools, adhesives, underlayments, moldings, and stair treads; and decorative tiles and mosaics, such as natural stone, porcelain, ceramic, glass, wall tile, and decorative trims. The company also provides solid prefinished and unfinished hardwood, engineered hardwood, bamboo, and wood countertops; marble, limestone, travertine, slate, ledger; and vanities, shower doors, bath accessories, faucets, sinks, custom countertops, bathroom mirrors, bathroom lighting, and kitchen cabinets. It sells products through its warehouse-format stores and five small-format design studios, as well as through Website, FloorandDecor.com. The company serves professional installers, commercial businesses, and homeowners. The company was formerly known as FDO Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. in April 2017. Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Floor & Decor Holdings reported revenue of $4.7B in FY2025 versus $3.4B in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was $209M in FY2025, compounding −7.4%/yr from FY2021.
FND screens 48% overvalued. Compare with The Home Depot, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- FND Q2 Deep Dive: Margin Expansion and Pro Sales Offset Vinyl Weakness
- Why Floor And Decor (FND) Stock Is Trading Up Today
- Floor & Decor Holdings Inc (FND) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Resilient EPS and ...
- Floor & Decor (FND) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Peer Group
Home Improvement Retail · 36 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Home Improvement Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Home Improvement Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Home Depot, Inc HD | $337.74 | $236.85 | -30% |
| Lowe's Companies, Inc LOW | $209.66 | $186.32 | -11% |
| Wesfarmers Limited WES | A$92.80 | A$50.50 | -46% |
| Mr D.I.Y. Group 5296 | 1.70 MYR | 1.47 MYR | -14% |
| Home Product Center Public Company HMPROR | 6.65 THB | 6.31 THB | -5% |
| Siam Global House Public Company GLOBAL | 7.50 THB | 5.96 THB | -21% |
| Dohome Public Company DOHOME | 3.86 THB | 2.90 THB | -25% |
| Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc HVT | $25.66 | $22.53 | -12% |
| Test-Rite International Co 2908 | 22.00 TWD | 9.18 TWD | -58% |
| Bourrelier Group ALBOU | €67.00 | €37.21 | -44% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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