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Kingfisher plc (KGFHF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Kingfisher plc $4.34, price $4.32, upside +0.5%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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KP
Broad data
Sep 23, 2026
Broad data
Sep 23, 2026
Kingfisher plc
KGFHF · USNeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
·Fair value $4.34 · Fairly valued (+0.5%)
✓Quality 65/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.9% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Narrow moat 29/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.01 – $5.06 · fair‑value band $3.25 – $5.42 · the $4.32 price screens below the $4.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Company profile
Kingfisher plc, together with its subsidiaries, supplies home improvement products and services in the United Kingdom, Ireland, France, Poland, and internationally. The company operates retail stores under the B&Q, Castorama, Brico Dépôt, Screwfix, TradePoint, and Koçtas brand names.
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Kingfisher plc, together with its subsidiaries, supplies home improvement products and services in the United Kingdom, Ireland, France, Poland, and internationally. The company operates retail stores under the B&Q, Castorama, Brico Dépôt, Screwfix, TradePoint, and Koçtas brand names. It sells its products to consumers and trade professionals through stores and e-commerce channels. Kingfisher plc was incorporated in 1982 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Kingfisher plc (KGFHF) currently trades at $4.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.34, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.5%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $7.91 per share, and 13 of the 24 models we run sit above the $4.32 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $1.81, and 11 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $3.25 (bear) to $5.42 (bull), the price of $4.32 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Kingfisher plc reported revenue of £12.9B in FY2026 versus £13.2B in FY2022, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was £245M in FY2026, compounding −26.6%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $7.3B · P/E ratio 22.7 · P/S ratio 0.43 · EPS (TTM) $0.1900 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 3.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 0%, KGFHF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.25
Fair Value $4.34
Bull $5.42
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0443 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$8.81
$11.60
$17.05
81
Growth DCF
$9.12
$11.84
$16.69
79
Owner Earnings
$4.83
$6.33
$9.25
77
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$8.81
$11.60
$17.05
81
Owner Earnings
$4.83
$6.33
$9.25
77
5Y Revenue Exit
$5.64
$7.25
$9.68
74
5Y EBITDA Exit
$8.00
$11.26
$15.74
75
5Y P/E Exit
$5.30
$6.68
$8.43
72
10Y Revenue Exit
$6.75
$8.27
$9.91
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
$8.25
$10.84
$13.68
70
10Y P/E Exit
$6.64
$7.91
$9.13
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$1.33
$2.10
$2.53
67
EPV
$2.86
$3.27
$3.62
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$1.53
$1.81
$2.11
69
DDM Multi-Stage
$1.53
$1.99
$2.56
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$3.23
$4.31
$5.39
63
P/S Multiple
$2.50
$3.33
$4.16
58
P/B Multiple
$2.50
$3.33
$4.16
55
EV/EBIT
$5.63
$7.42
$9.20
66
EV/EBITDA
$8.64
$11.43
$14.23
67
EV/Revenue
$3.88
$5.43
$6.98
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$2.46
$3.30
$4.93
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$9.12
$11.84
$16.69
79
Rev-Margin DCF
$5.64
$7.45
$9.84
74
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$3.66
$3.65
$3.77
76
ROIC Compounder
$2.86
$3.27
$3.62
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$2.28
$3.26
$4.23
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
65/100
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Profitability
48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.2% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−9.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 4%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−13.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in GBP, UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −15.3% a year for the price and −0.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+1.2%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+2.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.2%
Projected 2031 (sales)+2.2%
Watch KGFHF, get fair value alerts →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
- Kingfisher PLC (KGFHF) (H1 2027) Earnings Call Highlights: Profit Jumps 9.9% as Guidance Upgraded
- Kingfisher Screws Its Profit Guidance Higher
- Kingfisher delivers profit upgrade despite flagging B&Q sales
- Kingfisher climbs after raising FY profit guidance
Compare Kingfisher plc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Home Improvement Retail · 32 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Home Improvement Retail median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Home Improvement Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Home Depot, Inc HD | $284.49 | $236.72 | −17% |
| Lowe's Companies, Inc LOW | $187.26 | $186.20 | −1% |
| Wesfarmers Limited WES | A$74.35 | A$52.00 | −30% |
| Floor & Decor Holdings FND | $47.06 | $27.72 | −41% |
| Mr D.I.Y. Group 5296 | 1.29 MYR | 1.47 MYR | +14% |
| Home Product Center Public Company HMPRO | 6.30 THB | 6.32 THB | +0% |
| Siam Global House Public Company GLOBAL | 6.25 THB | 6.88 THB | +10% |
| Bourrelier Group ALBOU | €67.40 | €76.34 | +13% |
| Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc HVT | $27.95 | $20.42 | −27% |
| Dohome Public Company DOHOME | 3.58 THB | 1.70 THB | −53% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Kingfisher plc (KGFHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.34 versus a price of $4.32, about +0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KGFHF?
Our model-based fair value for Kingfisher plc is $4.34 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.32.
What is the quality score of KGFHF?
Kingfisher plc has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kingfisher plc (KGFHF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.34 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.25, optimistic scenario $5.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kingfisher plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.34, about +0% upside versus a price of $4.32 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $3.25, optimistic scenario $5.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kingfisher plc (KGFHF)?
Kingfisher plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £12.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Kingfisher plc pay a dividend?
Kingfisher plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.87% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kingfisher plc (KGFHF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kingfisher plc would have to grow free cash flow by -13.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KGFHF use?
Our models discount Kingfisher plc at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.11, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kingfisher plc that is -13.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kingfisher plc (KGFHF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kingfisher plc grew +1.0 % a year. The price currently implies -13.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kingfisher plc (KGFHF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kingfisher plc (-13.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kingfisher plc (KGFHF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 18.59 %: that much free cash flow Kingfisher plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kingfisher plc (KGFHF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kingfisher plc it is $4.34 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $4.32. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kingfisher plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, KGFHF trades below its calculated fair value: price $4.32, fair value $4.34, a gap of about +0% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KGFHF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.32); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.34). For Kingfisher plc the two are $0.0200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kingfisher plc worth?
The market values Kingfisher plc at about $7.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $4.32; our models calculate a fair value of $4.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KGFHF?
Our models span a range for Kingfisher plc: cautious scenario $3.25, base $4.34, optimistic $5.42 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $4.32). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KGFHF?
Kingfisher plc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.7 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.34 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 1.0, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 5.8.
What is the PEG ratio of KGFHF?
The PEG ratio of Kingfisher plc is 0.68 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kingfisher plc (KGFHF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kingfisher plc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 3.9%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KGFHF from its 52-week high?
Kingfisher plc trades at $4.32, about 15% below its 52-week high of $5.06 and 22% above the low of $3.55 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.34 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kingfisher plc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value The Home Depot, Inc, Lowe's Companies, Inc, Wesfarmers Limited, Floor & Decor Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kingfisher plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $4.32, calculated fair value $4.34 (+0%), Quality Score 65/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KGFHF calculated?
We run Kingfisher plc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.34, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Kingfisher plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kingfisher plc (KGFHF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $4.32. Our model-based fair value is $4.34, about +0% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kingfisher plc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Kingfisher plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Kingfisher plc (KGFHF)?
The market capitalisation of Kingfisher plc is $7.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kingfisher plc (KGFHF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kingfisher plc is 0.43 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kingfisher plc (KGFHF)?
Earnings per share at Kingfisher plc are $0.1900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kingfisher plc (KGFHF)?
The dividend yield of Kingfisher plc is 2.9% (payout 65.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kingfisher plc (KGFHF)?
The net margin of Kingfisher plc is 1.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kingfisher plc (KGFHF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kingfisher plc is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kingfisher plc (KGFHF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kingfisher plc is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kingfisher plc (KGFHF)?
The operating margin of Kingfisher plc is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kingfisher plc (KGFHF)?
Revenue at Kingfisher plc is growing +1.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kingfisher plc (KGFHF)?
Earnings per share at Kingfisher plc are growing +4.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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