Lowe's Companies, Inc (LOW) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $116B
Lowe's Companies, Inc
LOW · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −1.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 15% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($100.18 to $252.38) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $158.46 – $286.02 · fair‑value band $100.18 – $252.38 · the $218.40 price screens above the $186.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Lowe's Companies, Inc (LOW) currently trades at $218.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $186.32, implying the stock looks roughly 14.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Lowe's Companies, Inc generated revenue of $88.4B at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue grew 10.3% year over year. Net debt stands at $43.7B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 17.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $100.18 (bear case) to $252.38 (bull case); at $218.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -15%, LOW screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($221.15) versus Dividend Discount ($71.61). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lowe's Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a home improvement retailer in the United States and Canada. It provides a line of products for construction, maintenance, repair, remodeling, and decorating.
Full company description
Lowe's Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a home improvement retailer in the United States and Canada. It provides a line of products for construction, maintenance, repair, remodeling, and decorating. The company also offers home improvement products, such as appliances, seasonal and outdoor living, lumber, lawn and garden, kitchens and bath, hardware, building materials, millwork, paint, rough plumbing, tools, electrical, flooring, and décor. In addition, it provides installation services through independent contractors in various product categories; and extended protection plans and repair services. Further, the company provides design, distribution, and installation services for interior surface finishes to home builders and property managers. It sells its national brand-name merchandise and private brand products to professional customers, individual homeowners, and renters. The company serves its products through Lowes.com website, mobile applications, retail home improvement stores and outlet stores, and its branches. Lowe's Companies, Inc. was founded in 1921 and is based in Mooresville, North Carolina.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Lowe's Companies, Inc reported revenue of $86.3B in FY2026 versus $96.3B in FY2022, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was $6.7B in FY2026, compounding −5.8%/yr from FY2022.
LOW screens 15% overvalued. Compare with The Home Depot, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is Lowe's (LOW) a Buy as Wall Street Analysts Look Optimistic?
- Lowe's (LOW) Stock Moves -1.17%: What You Should Know
Peer Group
Home Improvement Retail · 36 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Home Improvement Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Home Improvement Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Home Depot, Inc HD | $337.74 | $236.85 | -30% |
| Wesfarmers Limited WES | A$92.80 | A$50.50 | -46% |
| Floor & Decor Holdings FND | $56.40 | $32.81 | -42% |
| Mr D.I.Y. Group 5296 | 1.70 MYR | 1.47 MYR | -14% |
| Home Product Center Public Company HMPROR | 6.65 THB | 6.31 THB | -5% |
| Siam Global House Public Company GLOBAL | 7.50 THB | 5.96 THB | -21% |
| Dohome Public Company DOHOME | 3.86 THB | 2.90 THB | -25% |
| Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc HVT | $25.66 | $22.53 | -12% |
| Test-Rite International Co 2908 | 22.00 TWD | 9.18 TWD | -58% |
| Bourrelier Group ALBOU | €67.00 | €37.21 | -44% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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