Hagerty, Inc (HGTY) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $4.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +12.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 89% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.57 – $18.80 · fair‑value band $1.17 – $1.96 · the $13.61 price screens above the $1.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Hagerty, Inc (HGTY) currently trades at $13.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.56, implying the stock looks roughly 88.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hagerty, Inc generated revenue of $1.4B at a net margin of 2.0%. Revenue declined 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $66.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.17 (bear case) to $1.96 (bull case); at $13.61, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at -89%, HGTY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($1.24) versus Dividend Discount ($0.2400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hagerty, Inc. provides insurance services for collector cars and enthusiast vehicles in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. It operates through Insurance and Marketplace segments. The company operates as a managing general agent that underwrites, sells, and services collector car and enthusiast vehicle insurance policies.
Full company description
Hagerty, Inc. provides insurance services for collector cars and enthusiast vehicles in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. It operates through Insurance and Marketplace segments. The company operates as a managing general agent that underwrites, sells, and services collector car and enthusiast vehicle insurance policies. It also provides Hagerty Drivers Club memberships, which are bundled with insurance policies and give subscribers access to an array of products and services, such as emergency roadside assistance, the Hagerty Drivers Club magazine, special access to automotive enthusiast events, a proprietary vehicle valuation tool, and special vehicle-related discounts; and reinsurance services. In addition, the company offers marketplace services comprising live auctions, online sale platforms, and brokered private sales services where automotive collectors and enthusiasts can buy, sell, and finance collector cars. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Traverse City, Michigan. Hagerty, Inc. is a subsidiary of Hagerty Holding Corp.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hagerty, Inc reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $577M in FY2021, a compound +26.1%/yr. Reported net income was $49.0M in FY2025.
HGTY screens 89% overvalued. Compare with The Progressive Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Hagerty (HGTY) Could Be 23% Below Fair Value After Rare Ferrari Enzo Auction News
- Hagerty to Report Second Quarter 2026 Results and Host Conference Call on Wednesday, August 5, 2026
Peer Group
Insurance - Property & Casualty · 120 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Property & Casualty median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 66/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Progressive Corporation PGR | $234.48 | $252.50 | +8% |
| Chubb Limited CB | $337.44 | $345.56 | +2% |
| The Travelers Companies, Inc TRV | $368.98 | $384.42 | +4% |
| The Allstate Corporation ALL | $251.61 | $503.22 | +100% |
| The People's Insurance Company 601319 | ¥7.06 | ¥13.71 | +94% |
| Intact Financial Corporation IFC | C$294.02 | C$247.44 | -16% |
| Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH | C$2,327 | C$3,252 | +40% |
| QBE Insurance Group QBE | A$25.47 | A$19.42 | -24% |
| Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co 000810 | 648,000 KRW | 658,771 KRW | +2% |
| Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA PZU | 69.80 PLN | 100.85 PLN | +44% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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