MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $40.1M · ISIN KYG550321742
MicroCloud Hologram Inc.
HOLO · US
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Share price +13.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.60). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- The models converge in a tight band ($1.58 to $1.60), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.45 – $103,680 · fair‑value band $1.58 – $1.60 · the $1.77 price screens above the $1.59 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) currently trades at $1.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.59, implying the stock looks roughly 9.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, MicroCloud Hologram Inc. generated revenue of $404M at a net margin of -13.1%. Revenue grew 51.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.58 (bear case) to $1.60 (bull case); at $1.77, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -10%, HOLO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($2.40) versus Asset-Based ($1.77). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
MicroCloud Hologram Inc. provides holographic technology services in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Holographic Solutions and Holographic Technology Service.
Full company description
MicroCloud Hologram Inc. provides holographic technology services in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Holographic Solutions and Holographic Technology Service. Its services include holographic light detection and ranging (LiDAR) solutions based on holographic technology; holographic LiDAR point cloud algorithms architecture design; technical holographic imaging solutions; holographic LiDAR sensor chip design; and holographic vehicle intelligent vision technology to service customers that provide holographic advanced driver assistance systems. The company also provides holographic digital twin technology services and has a proprietary holographic digital twin technology resource library, which captures shapes and objects in 3D holographic form by utilizing a combination of holographic digital twin software, digital content, spatial data-driven data science, holographic digital cloud algorithm, and holographic 3D capture technology. In addition, it distributes holographic hardware. MicroCloud Hologram Inc. is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MicroCloud Hologram Inc. reported revenue of ¥393M in FY2025 versus ¥359M in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥51.3M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Electronic Components · 651 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphenol Corporation APH | $157.74 | $97.19 | -38% |
| Corning Incorporated GLW | CHF 134.64 | CHF 35.18 | -74% |
| Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 | 1,750 TWD | 602.37 TWD | -66% |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 | ¥56.06 | ¥38.44 | -31% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 | 1,503,000 KRW | 172,954 KRW | -88% |
| Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 | ¥202.11 | ¥21.19 | -90% |
| TE Connectivity plc TEL | $202.66 | $144.42 | -29% |
| Shengyi Technology Co 600183 | ¥132.80 | ¥36.30 | -73% |
| Flex Ltd FLEX | $124.53 | $48.10 | -61% |
| Celestica Inc CLS | $298.70 | $113.54 | -62% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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