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Harbor Bankshares Corporation (HRBK) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $25.4M

HB Harbor Bankshares Corporation logo Harbor Bankshares Corporation HRBK · US
Price$29.00
Fair Value$14.71
Upside-49.3%
Quality39/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
2.37% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/13)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range $11.03 – $18.39 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +31.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 49% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($18.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$29.31 $0.2693 Fair Value $14.71 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.2693 – $29.31 · fair‑value band $11.03 – $18.39 · the $29.00 price screens above the $14.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Harbor Bankshares Corporation (HRBK) currently trades at $29.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.71, implying the stock looks roughly 49.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Harbor Bankshares Corporation generated revenue of $13.3M at a net margin of 14.1%. Revenue grew 19.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $11.03 (bear case) to $18.39 (bull case); at $29.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -49%, HRBK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $52.18 $48.20 $31.31 76
Gordon GGM $16.08 $26.93 $34.95 70
P/E Multiple $11.03 $14.71 $18.39 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $16.08 $26.93 $34.95 70
DDM Multi-Stage $16.08 $25.54 $28.97 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.03 $14.71 $18.39 63
P/B Multiple $14.43 $19.24 $24.04 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $41.64 $55.80 $83.29 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $52.18 $48.20 $31.31 76

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($55.80) versus Multiples ($14.71). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $13.3M
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.9%
Net margin 14.1%
Return on equity 11.0%
Free cash flow −$510K FY2025
Operating margin 26.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.1200
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -10.4%
Net debt $447K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 98
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 67
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Harbor Bankshares Corporation provides various banking services in Maryland. The company offers personal checking, savings and investment, cards, individual retirement plans, certificate of deposits, mortgages, loans and lines of credit, online banking, bill pay, mobile banking, E-statement, telebanc, and interest rate services.

Full company description

Harbor Bankshares Corporation provides various banking services in Maryland. The company offers personal checking, savings and investment, cards, individual retirement plans, certificate of deposits, mortgages, loans and lines of credit, online banking, bill pay, mobile banking, E-statement, telebanc, and interest rate services. It also provides business loans, remote deposit, positive pay, cash management, and merchant services. In addition, the company offers personal, home equity, installment, and VIP loans; home equity and overdraft lines of credit. Further, the company provides brokerage and insurance products. Harbor Bankshares Corporation was founded in 1982 and is based in Baltimore, Maryland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Harbor Bankshares Corporation reported revenue of $26.8M in FY2025 versus $17.6M in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was $1.4M in FY2025, compounding −15.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 47/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$26.8M
Latest YoY
+8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.6%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.2%
Revenue +11.1%/yr
FY21 $17.6M
FY22 $16.7M
FY23 $26.5M
FY24 $24.7M
FY25 $26.8M
Net income −15.2%/yr
FY21 $2.6M
FY22 $337K
FY23 $7.2M
FY24 $3.4M
FY25 $1.4M

HRBK screens 49% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Harbor Bankshares Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HRBK

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −49% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 27% · Below median
Revenue growth 20% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.25× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.90× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.55× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 39
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 44 · sector 41
HEALTH 96 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 47 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Harbor Bankshares Corporation (HRBK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.71 versus a price of $29.00, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HRBK?
Our model-based fair value for Harbor Bankshares Corporation is $14.71 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $29.00.
What is the quality score of HRBK?
Harbor Bankshares Corporation has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Harbor Bankshares Corporation (HRBK)?
Harbor Bankshares Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.3M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HRBK?
The net profit margin of Harbor Bankshares Corporation is about 14.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Harbor Bankshares Corporation pay a dividend?
Harbor Bankshares Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.37% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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