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HSBC Holdings (HSHD) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · SG · Market cap 85.7B SGD

HH HSBC Holdings HSHD · SG
Price5.11 SGD
Fair Value10.00 SGD
Upside+95.7%
Quality76/100
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Evidence: High Range 7.50 SGD – 12.50 SGD

Fair value as of: Jul 4, 2026

From 18 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Share price +7.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

5.11 SGD 3.01 SGD Fair Value 10.00 SGD Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 3.01 SGD – 5.11 SGD · fair‑value band 7.50 SGD – 12.50 SGD · the 5.11 SGD price screens below the 10.00 SGD fair value. As of Jul 4, 2026.

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Analysis

HSBC Holdings (HSHD) currently trades at 5.11 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.00 SGD — implying the stock looks roughly 95.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 76/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, HSBC Holdings generated revenue of 63.8B SGD at a net margin of 35.0%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.6%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 3.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 4, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 7.50 SGD (bear case) to 12.50 SGD (bull case); at 5.11 SGD, the current price sits below that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 65% fair-value upside — at 96%, HSHD screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 63.8B SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.3%
Net margin 35.0%
Return on equity 11.6%
Free cash flow 25.1B SGD FY2025
P/E ratio 3.2
More key figures
Operating margin 50.7%
EPS (TTM) 1.57 SGD
EPS growth (YoY) +2.6%

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

HSBC Holdings plc engages in the provision of banking and financial products and services worldwide. It operates through four segments: Hong Kong, UK, Corporate and Institutional Banking, and International Wealth and Premier Banking. The Hong Kong segment is involved in the retail banking and wealth and commercial banking of HSBC Hong Kong and Hang Seng Bank. The UK segment engages in UK retail banking and wealth, as well as first direct and M&S Bank, UK Commercial Banking, and HSBC Innovation Bank. The Corporate and Institutional Banking segment is involved in transaction banking and capital markets. The International Wealth and Premier Banking segment is involved in the business comprising premier banking outside of Hong Kong and the UK, its private bank, asset management, and insurance businesses. The company was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

HSBC Holdings reported revenue of 71.0B SGD in FY2025 versus 64.2B SGD in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was 22.3B SGD in FY2025, compounding +12.5%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +2.5%/yr
FY21 64.2B SGD
FY22 53.7B SGD
FY23 64.5B SGD
FY24 67.4B SGD
FY25 71.0B SGD
Net income +12.5%/yr
FY21 13.9B SGD
FY22 15.6B SGD
FY23 23.5B SGD
FY24 24.0B SGD
FY25 22.3B SGD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HSBC Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HSHD

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Frequently asked questions

Is HSBC Holdings (HSHD) undervalued?
As of Jul 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10.00 SGD versus a price of 5.11 SGD — about +96% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of HSHD?
Our model-based fair value for HSBC Holdings is 10.00 SGD (as of Jul 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 5.11 SGD.
What is the quality score of HSHD?
HSBC Holdings has a Quality Score of 76/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of HSBC Holdings (HSHD)?
HSBC Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 63.8B SGD (latest available figure, as of Jul 4, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HSHD?
The net profit margin of HSBC Holdings is about 35.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 35.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.