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HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc (HTB) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $814M

HB HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc logo HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc HTB · US
Price$50.80
Fair Value$42.40
Upside-16.5%
Quality45/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 31.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.05% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range $31.80 – $52.99 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +6.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 17% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$51.85 $17.37 Fair Value $42.40 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $17.37 – $51.85 · fair‑value band $31.80 – $52.99 · the $50.80 price screens above the $42.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc (HTB) currently trades at $50.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $42.40, implying the stock looks roughly 16.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc generated revenue of $211M at a net margin of 31.6%. Revenue grew 9.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $298M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $31.80 (bear case) to $52.99 (bull case); at $50.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -17%, HTB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $26.96 $29.18 $35.45 76
Gordon GGM $3.54 $6.39 $8.79 70
P/E Multiple $31.80 $42.40 $52.99 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.54 $6.39 $8.79 70
DDM Multi-Stage $3.54 $5.83 $6.82 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $31.80 $42.40 $52.99 63
P/B Multiple $34.47 $45.97 $57.46 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $16.42 $22.00 $32.83 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $26.96 $29.18 $35.45 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($42.40) versus Dividend Discount ($5.83). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $211M
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.3%
Net margin 31.6%
Return on equity 11.5%
Free cash flow $28.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.5
More key figures
Operating margin 40.5%
EPS (TTM) $3.87
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.9%
Net cash $298M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for HomeTrust Bank that provides a range of retail and commercial banking products and services in the United States.

Full company description

HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for HomeTrust Bank that provides a range of retail and commercial banking products and services in the United States. It's deposit products include savings, money market, noninterest-bearing, and interest-bearing checking accounts, as well as certificates of deposit for individuals, businesses, and nonprofit organizations. The company's loan portfolio comprises one-to-four-family real estate lending, multifamily, home equity lines of credit, construction and land development, indirect auto finance, and consumer lending; and commercial loans that include commercial real estate, construction and land development, and commercial and industrial loans. It also provides small business administration loans, equipment finance leases, and municipal leases, as well as cash management and online/mobile banking services. In addition, the company invests in debt securities issued by the United States government agencies and government-sponsored enterprises, municipal bonds, corporate bonds, commercial paper, and certificates of deposit insured by the federal deposit insurance corporation. HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Asheville, North Carolina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc reported revenue of $295M in FY2025 versus $160M in FY2021, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was $54.8M in FY2025, compounding +36.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$295M
Latest YoY
+11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+23.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.1%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y)
+9.3%
Revenue +16.6%/yr
FY21 $160M
FY22 $155M
FY23 $216M
FY24 $266M
FY25 $295M
Net income +36.7%/yr
FY21 $15.7M
FY22 $35.7M
FY23 $44.6M
FY24 $50.0M
FY25 $54.8M

HTB screens 17% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HTB

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −17% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 32% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 40% · Above median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.48× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.87× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 28.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 11 · sector 39
FUTURE 47 · sector 44
PAST 46 · sector 41
HEALTH 99 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 21 · sector 49

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc (HTB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $42.40 versus a price of $50.80, about −17% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HTB?
Our model-based fair value for HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc is $42.40 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $50.80.
What is the quality score of HTB?
HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc (HTB)?
HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $211M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HTB?
The net profit margin of HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc is about 31.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 31.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc pay a dividend?
HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.05% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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