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Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc stock $35.80, price $56.05, that is 36.1% below the price, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 4 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services US

HV Huron Valley Bancorp Inc logo Some data Nov 8, 2026

Huron Valley Bancorp Inc

HVLM · US
Solid, but very expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 36% below what the stock costs today.

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +15.2 %/yr in USD)
Highly profitable · 25.0% net margin (TTM)
Revenue last quarter +23% vs. a year ago.
Quality 53/100
Moderate moat 62/100
Some data
Changed on Oct 31: $42.64 → $35.80
Fair value $35.80 · Strongly overvalued
Trails peers (4/13)
⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$60.00 $18.20 Fair Value $35.80 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $18.20 – $60.00 · fair‑value band $26.85 – $44.75 · the $56.05 price screens above the $35.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Huron Valley Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Huron Valley State Bank that provides various banking products and services to individuals and businesses in Michigan.

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The company offers checking and savings accounts, overdraft solutions, certificates of deposit, IRAs, and money market accounts; mortgage, home equity, auto, personal, and recreational vehicle loans; and commercial loans, lines of credit, term loans and long-term working capital financing, equipment financing, commercial real estate loans, and small business administration loans.

It also provides overdraft solutions, debit and ATM Cards, consumer and commercial credit cards, mobile deposits, and safe deposit boxes; and cash management, digital wallet, bill payment, and online and mobile banking services. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Milford, Michigan.

Stock analysis

Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM) currently trades at $56.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $35.80, 36% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $35.80 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the $56.05 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $20.50, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $26.85 (bear) to $44.75 (bull), the price of $56.05 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Huron Valley Bancorp Inc reported revenue of $15.7M in FY2025 versus $8.0M in FY2021, a compound +18.4%/yr. Reported net income was $2.9M in FY2025, compounding +8.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $49.0M Micro · P/E ratio 17.0 · P/S ratio 4.26 · EPS (TTM) $3.29 · Net margin 25.0% · Return on equity 11.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 36.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 62 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 93% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −36%, HVLM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $26.85 Fair Value $35.80 Bull $44.75
Price $56.05 · Downside -36.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.84 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $26.76 $29.85 $38.20 71
P/E Multiple $31.83 $42.44 $53.05 63
P/B Multiple $21.87 $29.16 $36.45 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $31.83 $42.44 $53.05 63
P/B Multiple $21.87 $29.16 $36.45 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.30 $20.50 $30.60 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $26.76 $29.85 $38.20 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 31
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 70
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 16
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 67
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 100
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 94
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+47.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.7% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+10.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10.5% vs 10.4%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.33% → 23%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

HVLM screens overvalued: fair value 36% below the price. Compare with China Merchants Bank Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 997 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside −36.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 11.4% · Above median
Return on assets 1.1% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 25.0% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 36.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 22.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 17.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.82× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 4.26× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 17.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 10.2× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)46 · sector 43
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Postal Savings Bank of China Co 601658 ¥5.63 ¥7.59 +35% vs HVLM
China Merchants Bank Co 600036 ¥43.01 ¥52.73 +23% vs HVLM
BNP Paribas SA BNP €95.66 €106.01 +11% vs HVLM
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.39 €4.49 −30% vs HVLM
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 28.60 SGD 18.20 SGD −36% vs HVLM
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €83.55 €50.44 −40% vs HVLM
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $9.93 $5.89 −41% vs HVLM
DBS Group D05 70.37 SGD 40.39 SGD −43% vs HVLM
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹798.15 ₹406.39 −49% vs HVLM
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,589 ₹615.63 −61% vs HVLM

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Huron Valley Bancorp Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huron Valley Bancorp Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HVLM

Frequently asked questions

Is Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $35.80 versus a price of $56.05, about 36% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HVLM?
Our model-based fair value for Huron Valley Bancorp Inc is $35.80 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $56.05.
What is the quality score of HVLM?
Huron Valley Bancorp Inc has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $35.80 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $26.85, optimistic scenario $44.75. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Huron Valley Bancorp Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $35.80, about 36% lower versus a price of $56.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $26.85, optimistic scenario $44.75. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM)?
Huron Valley Bancorp Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.5M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Huron Valley Bancorp Inc it is $35.80 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $56.05. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models in 3 families (Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Huron Valley Bancorp Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, HVLM trades above its calculated fair value: price $56.05, fair value $35.80, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HVLM?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($56.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($35.80). For Huron Valley Bancorp Inc the two are $20.25 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Huron Valley Bancorp Inc worth?
The market values Huron Valley Bancorp Inc at about $49.0M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $56.05; our models calculate a fair value of $35.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HVLM?
Our models span a range for Huron Valley Bancorp Inc: cautious scenario $26.85, base $35.80, optimistic $44.75 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $56.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HVLM?
Huron Valley Bancorp Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.0 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $35.80 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 8.7. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 4.3, EV/EBITDA 10.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 11.4%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HVLM from its 52-week high?
Huron Valley Bancorp Inc trades at $56.05, about 7% below its 52-week high of $60.00 and 93% above the low of $29.00 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $35.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Huron Valley Bancorp Inc?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Merchants Bank Co, DBS Group, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Huron Valley Bancorp Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $56.05, calculated fair value $35.80 (−36%), Quality Score 53/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HVLM calculated?
We run Huron Valley Bancorp Inc through 4 models from 3 families: Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $35.80 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Huron Valley Bancorp Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $56.05. Our model-based fair value is $35.80, about 36% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Huron Valley Bancorp Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($44.75). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM) come from?
Earnings per share at Huron Valley Bancorp Inc grew +12.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.5 %, EBIT margin +0.5 %, tax rate +2.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM)?
The market capitalisation of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc is $49.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc is 4.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM)?
Earnings per share at Huron Valley Bancorp Inc are $3.29 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM)?
The net margin of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc is 25.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc is 11.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM)?
The operating margin of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc is 36.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM)?
Revenue at Huron Valley Bancorp Inc is growing +22.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM) generate?
The free cash flow of Huron Valley Bancorp Inc is $2.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Huron Valley Bancorp Inc (HVLM) hold?
Huron Valley Bancorp Inc holds more cash than debt, $8.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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