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Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd $0.24, price $0.23, upside +8.2%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · US · Home Singapore

IA Indofood Agri Resources Ltd logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Indofood Agri Resources Ltd

IARLF · US

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value $0.2435 · Fairly valued (+8%)
!Quality 58/100
Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +5.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.0% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/13)
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.2873 $0.2083 Fair Value $0.2435 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.2083 – $0.2873 · fair‑value band $0.1912 – $0.3047 · the $0.2250 price screens below the $0.2435 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Indofood Agri Resources Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a vertically integrated agribusiness company in Singapore, Indonesia, China, Nigeria, Timor Leste, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Plantations, and Edible Oils and Fats.

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Indofood Agri Resources Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a vertically integrated agribusiness company in Singapore, Indonesia, China, Nigeria, Timor Leste, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Plantations, and Edible Oils and Fats. The Plantations segment is involved in the development and maintenance of oil palm, rubber, and sugar cane plantations; and other business activities relating to palm oil, rubber, and sugar cane processing, marketing, and selling. This segment is also involved in the cultivation of cocoa, tea, and industrial timber plantations. The Edible Oils and Fats segment produces, markets, and sells edible oil, margarine, shortening, and other related products, as well as its derivative products. The company offers cooking oil under the Bimoli, Bimoli Spesial, and Happy brands; and margarine and shortening products under the Amanda, Delima, Malinda, Palmia, Royal Palmia, and Simas brands. It also owns and operates bulking facilities; provides transportation, investment, management, and technical services; and operates in the macronutrients mix fertilizers and prefabrication industries, as well as engages in the oil palm seed breeding; planting, milling and selling of rubber and other crops activities. In addition, the company engages in plantation, trading, photography, air transportation, and mapping services; agriculture, forestry, and fishing; management of industrial timber plantations; marketing and research activities. Indofood Agri Resources Ltd. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Singapore. Indofood Agri Resources Ltd. is a subsidiary of Indofood Singapore Holdings Pte. Ltd.

Stock analysis

Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF) currently trades at $0.2250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2435, implying the stock looks roughly 7.6% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.2493 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the $0.2250 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0501, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.1912 (bear) to $0.3047 (bull), the price of $0.2250 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Indofood Agri Resources Ltd reported revenue of 21.1T IDR in FY2025 versus 19.7T IDR in FY2021, a compound +1.7%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3T IDR in FY2025, compounding +13.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $314M · P/E ratio 5.6 · P/S ratio 0.34 · EPS (TTM) $0.0400 · Net margin 6.0% · Return on equity 9.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.0% · Revenue (TTM) 18.3T IDR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades near its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at 8%, IARLF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.1912 Fair Value $0.2435 Bull $0.3047
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0293 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $0.1917 $0.2493 $0.3246 78
Growth DCF $0.1930 $0.2435 $0.3058 77
Owner Earnings $0.1569 $0.1998 $0.2559 75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.1917 $0.2493 $0.3246 78
Owner Earnings $0.1569 $0.1998 $0.2559 75
5Y Revenue Exit $0.1933 $0.2696 $0.3655 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.2977 $0.4622 $0.6527 72
5Y P/E Exit $0.1804 $0.2458 $0.3128 69
10Y Revenue Exit $0.1874 $0.2524 $0.3368 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.2516 $0.3737 $0.5345 65
10Y P/E Exit $0.1836 $0.2374 $0.3005 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.0578 $0.1686 $0.2228 62
Lynch FV $0.0351 $0.0501 $0.0652 58
PEG = 1.0 $0.0351 $0.0501 $0.0652 55
EPV $0.2211 $0.2437 $0.2626 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.1338 $0.1784 $0.2230 63
P/S Multiple $0.1083 $0.1444 $0.1805 58
P/B Multiple $0.1083 $0.1444 $0.1805 55
EV/EBIT $0.3902 $0.5020 $0.6138 66
EV/EBITDA $0.4120 $0.5311 $0.6502 67
EV/Revenue $0.2027 $0.2661 $0.3294 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0951 $0.1275 $0.1903 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.1930 $0.2435 $0.3058 77
Rev-Margin DCF $0.1933 $0.2705 $0.3577 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.1350 $0.1318 $0.1129 68
ROIC Compounder $0.2263 $0.2610 $0.2997 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.1083 $0.1547 $0.2011 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 71/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+31.9%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR (mathematically smoothed) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+13.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 19%
2025 sits 65% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−22.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in IDR, Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −24.0% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 646 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 31% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.11× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.17× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)44 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)37 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 58

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 77.09 CHF 59.49 −23%
Danone S.A BN €60.90 €50.81 −17%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.00 $29.20 +22%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥34.29 ¥37.72 +10%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,364 ₹724.74 −47%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥26.77 ¥41.84 +56%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.12 ¥9.98 −60%
General Mills, Inc GIS $35.45 $34.66 −2%
McCormick & Company MKC $49.42 $51.01 +3%
Hormel Foods Corporation HRL $20.33 $15.09 −26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2435 versus a price of $0.2250, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of IARLF?
Our model-based fair value for Indofood Agri Resources Ltd is $0.2435 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.2250.
What is the quality score of IARLF?
Indofood Agri Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2435 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1912, optimistic scenario $0.3047. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Indofood Agri Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2435, about +8% upside versus a price of $0.2250 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.1912, optimistic scenario $0.3047. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF)?
Indofood Agri Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.3T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Indofood Agri Resources Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -22.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +1.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of IARLF use?
Our models discount Indofood Agri Resources Ltd at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.11, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Indofood Agri Resources Ltd that is -22.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Indofood Agri Resources Ltd grew +1.7 % a year. The price currently implies -22.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (-22.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 31.89 %: that much free cash flow Indofood Agri Resources Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Indofood Agri Resources Ltd it is $0.2435 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.2250. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Indofood Agri Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, IARLF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.2250, fair value $0.2435, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IARLF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2250); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2435). For Indofood Agri Resources Ltd the two are $0.0185 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Indofood Agri Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Indofood Agri Resources Ltd at about $314M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.2250; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2435 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IARLF?
Our models span a range for Indofood Agri Resources Ltd: cautious scenario $0.1912, base $0.2435, optimistic $0.3047 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.2250). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IARLF?
Indofood Agri Resources Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.2435 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 0.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.3%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IARLF from its 52-week high?
Indofood Agri Resources Ltd trades at $0.2250, about 0% below its 52-week high of $0.2250 and 4% above the low of $0.2157 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2435 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Indofood Agri Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Indofood Agri Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.2250, calculated fair value $0.2435 (+8%), Quality Score 58/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IARLF calculated?
We run Indofood Agri Resources Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2435, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Indofood Agri Resources Ltd currently trades 8 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $0.2250. Our model-based fair value is $0.2435, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Indofood Agri Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF)?
The market capitalisation of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd is $314M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd is 0.34 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF)?
Earnings per share at Indofood Agri Resources Ltd are $0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF)?
The net margin of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd is 6.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd is 9.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd is 8.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF)?
Revenue at Indofood Agri Resources Ltd is growing +30.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF)?
Earnings per share at Indofood Agri Resources Ltd are growing +13.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Indofood Agri Resources Ltd (IARLF) carry?
The net debt of Indofood Agri Resources Ltd is 627B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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