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ICF International, Inc (ICFI) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $1.2B

II ICF International, Inc logo ICF International, Inc ICFI · US
Price$95.00
Fair Value$97.00
Upside+2.1%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.78% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range $51.55 – $132.80 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +22.5% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($51.55 to $132.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$174.02 $59.78 Fair Value $97.00 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $59.78 – $174.02 · fair‑value band $51.55 – $132.80 · the $95.00 price screens below the $97.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

ICF International, Inc (ICFI) currently trades at $95.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $97.00, implying the stock looks roughly 2.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, ICF International, Inc generated revenue of $1.8B at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue declined 10.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at $566M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $51.55 (bear case) to $132.80 (bull case); at $95.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at 2%, ICFI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $43.08 $74.57 $116.86 80
Residual Income $45.58 $48.49 $53.28 76
Rev-Margin DCF $48.01 $92.83 $146.64 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $43.17 $77.03 $124.47 38
Owner Earnings $47.43 $83.50 $134.05 31
5Y Revenue Exit $48.01 $93.22 $152.06 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $65.08 $126.25 $199.52 41
5Y P/E Exit $46.92 $91.10 $138.67 38
10Y Revenue Exit $43.18 $82.08 $136.59 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $55.29 $103.44 $170.74 37
10Y P/E Exit $44.55 $80.72 $126.95 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $34.40 $125.74 $169.71 54
Lynch FV $29.96 $42.80 $55.64 50
PEG = 1.0 $29.96 $42.80 $55.64 46
EPV $36.13 $44.04 $50.64 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $79.68 $106.24 $132.80 63
P/S Multiple $64.50 $86.00 $107.51 58
P/B Multiple $64.50 $86.00 $107.51 55
EV/EBIT $84.95 $120.55 $156.16 53
EV/EBITDA $91.13 $128.79 $166.46 54
EV/Revenue $54.37 $87.04 $119.72 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $28.40 $38.06 $56.81 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $43.08 $74.57 $116.86 80
Rev-Margin DCF $48.01 $92.83 $146.64 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $45.58 $48.49 $53.28 76
ROIC Compounder $36.13 $44.04 $50.64 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $56.35 $80.50 $104.65 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($87.04) versus Asset-Based ($38.06). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.3%
Net margin 4.7%
Return on equity 8.5%
Free cash flow $120M FY2025
P/E ratio 14.4
More key figures
Operating margin 8.0%
EPS (TTM) $4.63
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -22.2%
Net debt $566M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ICF International, Inc. provides management, technology, and policy consulting and implementation services to government and commercial clients in the United States and internationally.

Full company description

ICF International, Inc. provides management, technology, and policy consulting and implementation services to government and commercial clients in the United States and internationally. The Company provides consulting and technology services across several key domains, such as strategy and public policy; energy and environmental sustainability; and climate resilience; digital transformation including information technology; modernization, cloud, cybersecurity, and data analytics; health and social programs including public health and education; international development and capacity building; disaster management and recovery planning; transportation, aviation, and infrastructure; and marketing and strategic communications. The company serves energy, environment, infrastructure, and disaster recovery; health and social programs; and security and other civilian and commercial markets; U.S. federal government departments and agencies, local government departments and agencies, international governments, and commercial clients. The company was formerly known as ICF Consulting Group Holdings, LLC and changed its name to ICF International, Inc. in 2006. ICF International, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ICF International, Inc reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2025 versus $1.6B in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was $91.6M in FY2025, compounding +6.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.9B
Latest YoY
−7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+12.5%
Revenue +4.8%/yr
FY21 $1.6B
FY22 $1.8B
FY23 $2.0B
FY24 $2.0B
FY25 $1.9B
Net income +6.5%/yr
FY21 $71.1M
FY22 $64.2M
FY23 $82.6M
FY24 $110M
FY25 $91.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ICF International, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ICFI

Peer Group

Consulting Services · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +2% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.39× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Consulting Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.17× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.66× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 10.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.88× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 36 · sector 20
FUTURE 0 · sector 11
PAST 34 · sector 41
HEALTH 81 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 16 · sector 52

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Consulting Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Verisk Analytics, Inc VRSK $201.49 $145.58 -28%
SGS SA SGSN CHF 94.68 CHF 68.96 -27%
Equifax Inc EFX $177.08 $101.34 -43%
Bureau Veritas SA BVI €27.20 €27.81 +2%
ALS Limited ALQ A$21.96 A$11.02 -50%
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding BAH $63.94 $120.62 +89%
DKSH Holding DKSH CHF 67.60 CHF 64.81 -4%
FTI Consulting, Inc FCN $156.86 $171.64 +9%
Centre Testing International Group 300012 ¥14.06 ¥11.90 -15%
GRG Metrology & Test Group 002967 ¥16.56 ¥11.69 -29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ICF International, Inc (ICFI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $97.00 versus a price of $95.00, about +2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ICFI?
Our model-based fair value for ICF International, Inc is $97.00 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $95.00.
What is the quality score of ICFI?
ICF International, Inc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ICF International, Inc (ICFI)?
ICF International, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ICFI?
The net profit margin of ICF International, Inc is about 4.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ICF International, Inc pay a dividend?
ICF International, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.78% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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