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Incap Oyj (ICP1V) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · FI · Market cap €253M

IO Incap Oyj ICP1V · HE
Price€8.05
Fair Value€9.49
Upside+17.9%
Quality59/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 6.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: High Range €7.12 – €11.86 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −6.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 18% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from €7.12 (bear) to €11.86 (bull), base €9.49. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 59/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€21.75 €5.91 Fair Value €9.49 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €5.91 – €21.75 · fair‑value band €7.12 – €11.86 · the €8.05 price screens below the €9.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Incap Oyj (ICP1V) currently trades at €8.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €9.49, implying the stock looks roughly 17.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Incap Oyj generated revenue of €215M at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue declined 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €49.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €7.12 (bear case) to €11.86 (bull case); at €8.05, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at 18%, ICP1V screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €7.81 €10.89 €15.06 80
Residual Income €3.62 €3.86 €4.35 76
Rev-Margin DCF €8.97 €14.16 €20.94 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €7.93 €11.55 €16.84 38
Owner Earnings €5.67 €7.89 €11.13 31
5Y Revenue Exit €8.97 €14.32 €21.63 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €10.04 €16.55 €24.78 41
5Y P/E Exit €8.29 €12.90 €18.18 38
10Y Revenue Exit €8.22 €12.68 €19.59 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €9.03 €14.09 €21.86 37
10Y P/E Exit €8.03 €11.79 €17.10 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €3.23 €15.57 €21.43 54
Lynch FV €4.16 €5.94 €7.73 50
PEG = 1.0 €4.16 €5.94 €7.73 46
EPV €6.19 €6.68 €7.08 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.0200 €0.0400 €0.0500 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.0200 €0.0400 €0.0400 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €7.12 €9.49 €11.86 63
P/S Multiple €6.05 €8.06 €10.08 58
P/B Multiple €6.05 €8.06 €10.08 55
EV/EBIT €13.67 €17.54 €21.40 53
EV/EBITDA €12.43 €15.88 €19.33 54
EV/Revenue €9.89 €13.24 €16.59 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.30 €3.08 €4.59 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €7.81 €10.89 €15.06 80
Rev-Margin DCF €8.97 €14.16 €20.94 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €3.62 €3.86 €4.35 76
ROIC Compounder €6.58 €7.66 €8.93 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €6.32 €9.03 €11.73 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€12.68) versus Dividend Discount (€0.0400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €219M
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.3%
Net margin 6.4%
Return on equity 10.3%
Free cash flow €18.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 18.3
More key figures
Operating margin 7.9%
EPS (TTM) €0.4700
Net cash €49.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Incap Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, provides electronics manufacturing services in Europe, North America, and Asia. The company offers prototyping and engineering, PCB assembly manufacturing, box-build assembly, customized solutions, cable and wire harness assemblies, magnetic assemblies, engineering, and after sales services.

Full company description

Incap Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, provides electronics manufacturing services in Europe, North America, and Asia. The company offers prototyping and engineering, PCB assembly manufacturing, box-build assembly, customized solutions, cable and wire harness assemblies, magnetic assemblies, engineering, and after sales services. It serves aerospace, automotive, consumer electronics, data storage and media, oil, gas and mining, power, security, telecom, transport and infrastructure, and gaming markets. Incap Oyj was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Helsinki, Finland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Incap Oyj reported revenue of €215M in FY2025 versus €170M in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was €14.0M in FY2025, compounding −9.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€215M
Latest YoY
−6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.0%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.7%
Revenue +6.0%/yr
FY21 €170M
FY22 €264M
FY23 €222M
FY24 €230M
FY25 €215M
Net income −9.8%/yr
FY21 €21.1M
FY22 €27.6M
FY23 €19.8M
FY24 €22.7M
FY25 €14.0M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +26.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +21.4 pp

of which total revenue +25.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.8 pp

EBIT margin +1.9 pp
Tax rate +0.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Incap Oyj Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ICP1V

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 625 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +18% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.15× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.16× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.33× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 16.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 57 · sector 0
FUTURE 37 · sector 32
PAST 41 · sector 24
HEALTH 93 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Incap Oyj (ICP1V) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €9.49 versus a price of €8.05, about +18% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ICP1V?
Our model-based fair value for Incap Oyj is €9.49 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €8.05.
What is the quality score of ICP1V?
Incap Oyj has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Incap Oyj (ICP1V)?
Incap Oyj reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €215M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ICP1V?
The net profit margin of Incap Oyj is about 6.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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