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Banca IFIS S.p.A (IF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IT · Market cap €1.3B

BI Banca IFIS S.p.A IF · MI
Price€15.18
Fair Value€25.35
Upside+67.0%
Quality28/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 43.6% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
9.93% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range €19.01 – €31.68 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +15.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 67% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (28/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€19.01). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€26.32 €7.16 Fair Value €25.35 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €7.16 – €26.32 · fair‑value band €19.01 – €31.68 · the €15.18 price screens below the €25.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Banca IFIS S.p.A (IF) currently trades at €15.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €25.35, implying the stock looks roughly 67.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Banca IFIS S.p.A generated revenue of €716M at a net margin of 43.6%. Revenue grew 20.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.8%. Net debt stands at €2.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €19.01 (bear case) to €31.68 (bull case); at €15.18, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 67%, IF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €33.03 €40.89 €89.77 76
Gordon GGM €15.67 €28.23 €38.87 70
P/E Multiple €52.36 €69.81 €87.26 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €15.67 €28.23 €38.87 70
DDM Multi-Stage €15.67 €25.79 €30.16 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €52.36 €69.81 €87.26 63
P/B Multiple €36.44 €48.59 €60.73 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €17.35 €23.25 €34.70 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €33.03 €40.89 €89.77 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (€48.59) versus Asset-Based (€23.25). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €716M
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.4%
Net margin 43.6%
Return on equity 15.8%
Free cash flow €19.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 4.1
More key figures
Operating margin 26.9%
EPS (TTM) €5.33
Dividend yield 9.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +905%
Net debt €2.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 42
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 13
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Banca IFIS S.p.A. provides financial services and solutions for enterprises. The company provides saving and current accounts, time deposits, and insurance; factoring, advisory and equity investment, structured finance, leasing, and medium/long term loans for industrial investments; salary-backed loan technology rental services; financial advisory/M&A; and …

Full company description

Banca IFIS S.p.A. provides financial services and solutions for enterprises. The company provides saving and current accounts, time deposits, and insurance; factoring, advisory and equity investment, structured finance, leasing, and medium/long term loans for industrial investments; salary-backed loan technology rental services; financial advisory/M&A; and factoring import/export, import/export loans, and other foreign banking services. It also engages in the purchase and management of non-performing loan portfolios. Banca IFIS S.p.A. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Mestre, Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Banca IFIS S.p.A reported revenue of €836M in FY2025 versus €507M in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was €328M in FY2025, compounding +34.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€836M
Latest YoY
+37.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+13.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.3%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
−12.6%
Revenue +13.3%/yr
FY21 €507M
FY22 €569M
FY23 €961M
FY24 €607M
FY25 €836M
Net income +34.4%/yr
FY21 €101M
FY22 €141M
FY23 €160M
FY24 €162M
FY25 €328M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Banca IFIS S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IF

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +67% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 44% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 27% · Below median
Revenue growth 20% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 2.09× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.72× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.14× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 77.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 39
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 63 · sector 41
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

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Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Banca IFIS S.p.A (IF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €25.35 versus a price of €15.18, about +67% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of IF?
Our model-based fair value for Banca IFIS S.p.A is €25.35 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €15.18.
What is the quality score of IF?
Banca IFIS S.p.A has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Banca IFIS S.p.A (IF)?
Banca IFIS S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €716M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IF?
The net profit margin of Banca IFIS S.p.A is about 43.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 43.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Banca IFIS S.p.A pay a dividend?
Banca IFIS S.p.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.93% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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