INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of INFICON Holding AG $117, price $216, upside -46.1%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $68.58 – $216.31 · fair‑value band $80.06 – $165.62 · the $216.31 price screens above the $116.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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INFICON Holding AG develops instruments for gas analysis, measurement, and control in Switzerland and internationally.
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INFICON Holding AG develops instruments for gas analysis, measurement, and control in Switzerland and internationally. The company offers industrial gas analyzers, mass spectrometers, and process control sensors; vacuum gauges, controllers, components, and feedthroughs; leak detectors; thin film controllers; application-based software solutions; quartz crystal, RF sensing, and xParts coating technologies; chemical detectors and monitors; micro gas chromatography; and service tools. It also provides toxic chemical analysis products for emergency response, security, and environmental monitoring, as well as instruments for energy and petrochemical applications. The company's analysis, measurement, and control products are used for gas leak detection in air conditioning, refrigeration, and automotive manufacturing; and for equipment manufacturers and end-users in the fabrication of semiconductors and thin film coatings for optics, flat panel displays, solar cells, LED lighting, and industrial vacuum coating applications. Its products are also used in the life sciences, research, aerospace, packaging, heat treatment, laser cutting, and other industrial sectors. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Bad Ragaz, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF) currently trades at $216.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $116.58, implying the stock looks roughly 85.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $70.53 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $216.31 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $11.69, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $80.06 (bear) to $165.62 (bull), the price of $216.31 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
INFICON Holding AG reported revenue of $674M in FY2025 versus $516M in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was $85.8M in FY2025, compounding +1.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $5.3B · P/E ratio 61.6 · P/S ratio 7.85 · EPS (TTM) $3.51 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 12.7% · Return on equity 21.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 25.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −46%, IFCNF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $80.06Fair Value $116.58Bull $165.62
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.7227 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.2% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+7.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6% vs 9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 17%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+39.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +36.6% a year for the price and +9.2% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Scientific & Technical Instruments · 160 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "INFICON Holding AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IFCNF
Frequently asked questions
Is INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $116.58 versus a price of $216.31, about −46% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IFCNF?
Our model-based fair value for INFICON Holding AG is $116.58 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $216.31.
What is the quality score of IFCNF?
INFICON Holding AG has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $116.58 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $80.06, optimistic scenario $165.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the INFICON Holding AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $116.58, about −46% upside versus a price of $216.31 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $80.06, optimistic scenario $165.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF)?
INFICON Holding AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $674M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does INFICON Holding AG pay a dividend?
INFICON Holding AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.17% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, INFICON Holding AG would have to grow free cash flow by +39.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of IFCNF use?
Our models discount INFICON Holding AG at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.55, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For INFICON Holding AG that is +39.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at INFICON Holding AG grew +11.1 % a year. The price currently implies +39.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into INFICON Holding AG (+39.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.28 %: that much free cash flow INFICON Holding AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For INFICON Holding AG it is $116.58 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $216.31. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is INFICON Holding AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, IFCNF trades above its calculated fair value: price $216.31, fair value $116.58, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IFCNF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($216.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($116.58). For INFICON Holding AG the two are $99.73 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is INFICON Holding AG worth?
The market values INFICON Holding AG at about $5.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $216.31; our models calculate a fair value of $116.58 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IFCNF?
Our models span a range for INFICON Holding AG: cautious scenario $80.06, base $116.58, optimistic $165.62 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $216.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IFCNF?
INFICON Holding AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 61.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $116.58 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 12.4, P/S 7.8, EV/EBITDA 39.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF)?
Balance-sheet figures for INFICON Holding AG (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 21.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IFCNF from its 52-week high?
INFICON Holding AG trades at $216.31, at its 52-week high of $216.31 and 92% above the low of $112.63 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $116.58 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to INFICON Holding AG?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Garmin Ltd, Teledyne Technologies Incorporated, Chroma ATE Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is INFICON Holding AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $216.31, calculated fair value $116.58 (−46%), Quality Score 64/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IFCNF calculated?
We run INFICON Holding AG through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $116.58, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. INFICON Holding AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $216.31. Our model-based fair value is $116.58, about −46% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with INFICON Holding AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($165.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($80.06 to $165.62) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of INFICON Holding AG
How large is the market capitalisation of INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF)?
The market capitalisation of INFICON Holding AG is $5.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of INFICON Holding AG is 7.85 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF)?
Earnings per share at INFICON Holding AG are $3.51 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 61.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF)?
The dividend yield of INFICON Holding AG is 1.2% (payout 71.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF)?
The net margin of INFICON Holding AG is 12.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of INFICON Holding AG is 21.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of INFICON Holding AG is 25.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF)?
The operating margin of INFICON Holding AG is 15.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF)?
Revenue at INFICON Holding AG is growing −0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at INFICON Holding AG (IFCNF)?
Earnings per share at INFICON Holding AG are growing −29.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026