Intred S.p.A (ITD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Intred S.p.A €11.19, price €8.80, upside +27.2%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €8.45 – €19.23 · fair‑value band €7.76 – €14.63 · the €8.80 price screens below the €11.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Intred S.p.A., a telecommunications operator, provides data and voice services in Italy. The company offers broadband, ultra-broadband, wireless, landline telephony, and cloud services, as well as ancillary services. It serves business and retail customers. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Brescia, Italy.
Stock analysis
Intred S.p.A (ITD) currently trades at €8.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €11.19, implying the stock looks roughly 21.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €11.71 per share, and 8 of the 14 models we run sit above the €8.80 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €2.92, and 6 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €7.76 (bear) to €14.63 (bull), the price of €8.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Intred S.p.A reported revenue of €55.8M in FY2025 versus €41.2M in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was €8.3M in FY2025, compounding −0.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €140M · P/E ratio 16.9 · P/S ratio 2.52 · EPS (TTM) €0.5200 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 14.9% · Return on equity 12.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at 27%, ITD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €7.76Fair Value €11.19Bull €14.63
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.2937 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.50/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +19.9% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+7.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6% vs 19%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 24%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 250 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside+27% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)23% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.38× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Intred S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ITD
Frequently asked questions
Is Intred S.p.A (ITD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €11.19 versus a price of €8.80, about +27% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ITD?
Our model-based fair value for Intred S.p.A is €11.19 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €8.80.
What is the quality score of ITD?
Intred S.p.A has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Intred S.p.A (ITD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €11.19 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario €7.76, optimistic scenario €14.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Intred S.p.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €11.19, about +27% upside versus a price of €8.80 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €7.76, optimistic scenario €14.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Intred S.p.A (ITD)?
Intred S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €56.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Intred S.p.A pay a dividend?
Intred S.p.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.36% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Intred S.p.A (ITD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Intred S.p.A it is €11.19 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €8.80. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Intred S.p.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ITD trades below its calculated fair value: price €8.80, fair value €11.19, a gap of about +27% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ITD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€8.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€11.19). For Intred S.p.A the two are €2.39 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Intred S.p.A worth?
The market values Intred S.p.A at about €140M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €8.80; our models calculate a fair value of €11.19 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ITD?
Our models span a range for Intred S.p.A: cautious scenario €7.76, base €11.19, optimistic €14.63 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €8.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ITD?
Intred S.p.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €11.19 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.3, P/S 2.8, EV/EBITDA 7.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Intred S.p.A (ITD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Intred S.p.A (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 12.9%, debt of 0.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ITD from its 52-week high?
Intred S.p.A trades at €8.80, about 18% below its 52-week high of €10.68 and 4% above the low of €8.45 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €11.19 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Intred S.p.A?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, T-Mobile US, Inc, Verizon Communications Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Intred S.p.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €8.80, calculated fair value €11.19 (+27%), Quality Score 51/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ITD calculated?
We run Intred S.p.A through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €11.19, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Intred S.p.A currently trades 27 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Intred S.p.A (ITD)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €8.80. Our model-based fair value is €11.19, about +27% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Intred S.p.A right now?
Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (€7.76 to €14.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Intred S.p.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Intred S.p.A (ITD)?
The market capitalisation of Intred S.p.A is €140M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Intred S.p.A (ITD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Intred S.p.A is 2.52 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Intred S.p.A (ITD)?
Earnings per share at Intred S.p.A are €0.5200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Intred S.p.A (ITD)?
The dividend yield of Intred S.p.A is 1.4% (payout 23.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Intred S.p.A (ITD)?
The net margin of Intred S.p.A is 14.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Intred S.p.A (ITD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Intred S.p.A is 12.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Intred S.p.A (ITD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Intred S.p.A is 10.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Intred S.p.A (ITD)?
The operating margin of Intred S.p.A is 22.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Intred S.p.A (ITD)?
Revenue at Intred S.p.A is growing −4.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Intred S.p.A (ITD)?
Earnings per share at Intred S.p.A are growing +6.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Intred S.p.A (ITD) generate?
The free cash flow of Intred S.p.A is −€4.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Intred S.p.A (ITD) carry?
The net debt of Intred S.p.A is €39.5M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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