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Ithaca Energy plc (ITH) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · GB · Market cap 3.6B GBX

IE Ithaca Energy plc ITH · LSE
Price£2.21
Fair Value£7.32
Upside+231.8%
Quality48/100
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Evidence: High Range £4.68 – £9.65

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated today

Share price −10.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

£2.86 £1.45 Fair Value £7.32 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range £1.45 – £2.86 · fair‑value band £4.68 – £9.65 · the £2.21 price screens below the £7.32 fair value. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Ithaca Energy plc (ITH) currently trades at £2.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £7.32 — implying the stock looks roughly 231.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ithaca Energy plc generated revenue of £3.1B at a net margin of 7.8%. Revenue grew 24.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. Net debt stands at £1.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £4.68 (bear case) to £9.65 (bull case); at £2.21, the current price sits below that range. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -8% fair-value upside — at 232%, ITH screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.1B GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +24.6%
Net margin 7.8%
Return on equity 9.3%
Free cash flow £755M FY2025
Operating margin 34.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) £-0.0400
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +97.6%
Net debt £1.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Ithaca Energy plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and production of oil and gas in the North Sea. It owns a portfolio of assets located in the Northern, Central, and Southern North Sea, as well as West of Shetland and the Moray Firth areas of the UK Continental Shelf. The company was formerly known as Delek North Sea Limited and changed its name to Ithaca Energy plc in October 2022. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is based in London, the United Kingdom. Ithaca Energy plc operates as a subsidiary of DKL Energy Limited.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ithaca Energy plc reported revenue of £3.0B in FY2025 versus £1.4B in FY2021, a compound +20.5%/yr. Reported net income was −£85.9M in FY2025.

Revenue +20.5%/yr
FY21 £1.4B
FY22 £2.6B
FY23 £2.3B
FY24 £2.0B
FY25 £3.0B
Net income
FY21 £621M
FY22 £1.0B
FY23 £216M
FY24 £153M
FY25 −£85.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ithaca Energy plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ITH

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥30.54 ¥28.25 -7%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP 2,022 MXN 1,552 MXN -23%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $45.52 $70.50 +55%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $140.28 $106.89 -24%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $57.10 $25.55 -55%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $196.55 $160.65 -18%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $43.05 $39.68 -8%
Woodside Energy Group WOPEF $19.61 $20.68 +5%
EQT Corporation EQT $55.24 $65.42 +18%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $389.79 $96.09 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ithaca Energy plc (ITH) undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £7.32 versus a price of £2.21 — about +232% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ITH?
Our model-based fair value for Ithaca Energy plc is £7.32 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £2.21.
What is the quality score of ITH?
Ithaca Energy plc has a Quality Score of 48/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Ithaca Energy plc (ITH)?
Ithaca Energy plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £3.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ITH?
The net profit margin of Ithaca Energy plc is about 7.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ithaca Energy plc pay a dividend?
Ithaca Energy plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.14% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.