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EQT Corporation (EQT) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $30.6B

EC EQT Corporation logo EQT Corporation EQT · US
Price$51.60
Fair Value$36.42
Upside-29.4%
Quality46/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 35.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.29% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: Medium Range $28.16 – $48.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −0.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 29% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($48.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$67.74 $15.12 Fair Value $36.42 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $15.12 – $67.74 · fair‑value band $28.16 – $48.17 · the $51.60 price screens above the $36.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

EQT Corporation (EQT) currently trades at $51.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $36.42, implying the stock looks roughly 29.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, EQT Corporation generated revenue of $9.4B at a net margin of 35.1%. Revenue grew 49.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.4%. Net debt stands at $7.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $28.16 (bear case) to $48.17 (bull case); at $51.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -29%, EQT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $45.80 $87.23 $156.54 80
Residual Income $32.07 $34.76 $44.84 76
Rev-Margin DCF $24.03 $44.90 $71.58 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $46.04 $90.60 $166.84 38
Owner Earnings $36.18 $73.10 $136.27 31
5Y Revenue Exit $24.03 $44.83 $71.98 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $62.76 $123.66 $199.77 41
5Y P/E Exit $37.50 $72.25 $111.29 38
10Y Revenue Exit $30.17 $52.24 $84.03 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $56.57 $109.60 $189.72 37
10Y P/E Exit $39.91 $72.19 $116.54 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $22.17 $98.38 $134.73 54
Lynch FV $25.52 $36.45 $47.39 50
PEG = 1.0 $25.52 $36.45 $47.39 46
EPV $26.53 $32.87 $38.41 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.72 $11.89 $18.87 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.72 $10.03 $12.48 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $48.90 $65.21 $81.51 63
P/S Multiple $27.20 $36.26 $45.33 58
P/B Multiple $41.57 $55.43 $69.28 55
EV/EBIT $56.47 $79.12 $101.77 53
EV/EBITDA $78.13 $108.00 $137.87 54
EV/Revenue $13.90 $24.78 $35.66 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $18.99 $25.44 $37.98 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $45.80 $87.23 $156.54 80
Rev-Margin DCF $24.03 $44.90 $71.58 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $32.07 $34.76 $44.84 76
ROIC Compounder $26.53 $32.87 $39.03 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $40.71 $58.16 $75.61 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($72.25) versus Dividend Discount ($10.03). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $9.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +49.9%
Net margin 35.1%
Return on equity 13.4%
Free cash flow $2.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 9.3
More key figures
Operating margin 57.4%
EPS (TTM) $5.27
Dividend yield 1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +490%
Net debt $7.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 97
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 84
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

EQT Corporation engages in the exploration, production, gathering, and transmission of hydrocarbons and natural gas. The company sells natural gas, natural gas liquids, and oil to marketers, utilities, and industrial customers located in the Appalachian Basin.

Full company description

EQT Corporation engages in the exploration, production, gathering, and transmission of hydrocarbons and natural gas. The company sells natural gas, natural gas liquids, and oil to marketers, utilities, and industrial customers located in the Appalachian Basin. It also provides marketing services and contractual pipeline capacity management services, as well as engages in risk management and hedging activities. The company was formerly known as Equitable Resources Inc. and changed its name to EQT Corporation in February 2009. EQT Corporation was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

EQT Corporation reported revenue of $9.1B in FY2025 versus $6.8B in FY2021, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was $2.0B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$9.1B
Latest YoY
+73.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−9.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+27.8%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+7.7%
Revenue +7.3%/yr
FY21 $6.8B
FY22 $12.1B
FY23 $5.1B
FY24 $5.2B
FY25 $9.1B
Net income
FY21 −$1.1B
FY22 $1.8B
FY23 $1.7B
FY24 $231M
FY25 $2.0B

EQT screens 29% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EQT Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EQT

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 316 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Above median
Fair Value upside −29% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 57% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 50% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.29× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.26× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.22× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 15
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 54 · sector 0
HEALTH 85 · sector 87
DIVIDEND 26 · sector 71

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥28.97 ¥32.55 +12%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $109.04 $91.79 -16%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $42.86 $31.54 -26%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $139.89 $130.19 -7%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $54.86 $30.68 -44%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $183.39 $106.12 -42%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $43.83 $27.06 -38%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$30.46 A$20.71 -32%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $415.70 $79.20 -81%
Expand Energy Corporation EXE $87.81 $106.45 +21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is EQT Corporation (EQT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $36.42 versus a price of $51.60, about −29% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EQT?
Our model-based fair value for EQT Corporation is $36.42 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $51.60.
What is the quality score of EQT?
EQT Corporation has a Quality Score of 46/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of EQT Corporation (EQT)?
EQT Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EQT?
The net profit margin of EQT Corporation is about 35.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 35.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does EQT Corporation pay a dividend?
EQT Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.18% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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