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Invesco Ltd (IVZ) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $12.8B

IL Invesco Ltd logo Invesco Ltd IVZ · US
Price$31.69
Fair Value$19.38
Upside-38.9%
Quality62/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -3.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.95% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: Medium Range $10.74 – $28.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from $19.43 to $19.38 (−0.3%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +15.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 39% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($28.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($10.74 to $28.73). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$32.01 $11.05 Fair Value $19.38 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $11.05 – $32.01 · fair‑value band $10.74 – $28.73 · the $31.69 price screens above the $19.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Invesco Ltd (IVZ) currently trades at $31.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.38, implying the stock looks roughly 38.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Invesco Ltd generated revenue of $6.6B at a net margin of -3.7%. Revenue grew 14.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.5%. Net debt stands at $8.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.74 (bear case) to $28.73 (bull case); at $31.69, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 127% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at -39%, IVZ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $16.36 $31.84 $53.30 80
Rev-Margin DCF $8.01 $21.92 $37.27 74
Gordon GGM $12.05 $23.91 $39.75 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $15.46 $32.38 $57.04 38
5Y Revenue Exit $8.01 $21.53 $38.18 39
10Y Revenue Exit $9.71 $22.43 $38.30 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $12.05 $23.91 $39.75 70
DDM Multi-Stage $12.05 $18.48 $25.40 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue $5.29 $16.08 $26.87 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.80 $18.49 $27.59 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $16.36 $31.84 $53.30 80
Rev-Margin DCF $8.01 $21.92 $37.27 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($22.43) versus Multiples ($16.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $6.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.1%
Net margin -3.7%
Return on equity -1.5%
Free cash flow $1.4B FY2025
Operating margin 19.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.47
Dividend yield 3.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +35.0%
Net debt $8.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 91
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Invesco Ltd. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm provides its services to retail clients, institutional clients, high-net worth clients, public entities, corporations, unions, non-profit organizations, endowments, foundations, pension funds, financial institutions, and sovereign wealth funds.

Full company description

Invesco Ltd. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm provides its services to retail clients, institutional clients, high-net worth clients, public entities, corporations, unions, non-profit organizations, endowments, foundations, pension funds, financial institutions, and sovereign wealth funds. It manages separate client-focused equity and fixed income portfolios. The firm also launches equity, commodity, fixed income, multi-asset, and balanced mutual funds for its clients. It launches equity, fixed income, multi-asset, and balanced exchange-traded funds. The firm also launches and manages private funds. It invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. The firm prefers to invest between $5 million and $15 million in companies. The firm also invests in alternative markets, such as commodities and currencies. For the equity portion of its portfolio, it invests in growth and value stocks of large-cap, mid-cap, and small-cap companies. For the fixed income portion of its portfolio, the firm invests in convertibles, government bonds, municipal bonds, treasury securities, and cash. It also invests in short term and intermediate term bonds, investment grade and high yield bonds, taxable and tax-free bonds, senior secured loans, and structured securities such as asset-backed securities, mortgage-backed securities, and commercial mortgage-backed securities. The firm employs absolute return, global macro, and long/short strategies. It employs quantitative analysis to make its investments. The firm was formerly known as Invesco Plc, AMVESCAP plc, Amvesco plc, Invesco PLC, Invesco MIM, and H. Lotery & Co. Ltd. Invesco Ltd. was founded in 1935 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia with an additional office in Asia, Europe, Africa and North America.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Invesco Ltd reported revenue of $6.4B in FY2025 versus $6.9B in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$282M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 35/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$6.4B
Latest YoY
+5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y)
+7.3%
Revenue −1.9%/yr
FY21 $6.9B
FY22 $6.0B
FY23 $5.7B
FY24 $6.1B
FY25 $6.4B
Net income
FY21 $1.6B
FY22 $921M
FY23 −$334M
FY24 $775M
FY25 −$282M

IVZ screens 39% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Invesco Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IVZ

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Asset Management · 963 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside −39% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Below median
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.88× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.05× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.95× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 8.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 16.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.92× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 71 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 56 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 59 · sector 70

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,036 $504.81 -51%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 394.40 kr 788.80 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%
HDFC Asset Management Company HDFCAMC ₹2,729 ₹301.41 -89%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Invesco Ltd (IVZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.38 versus a price of $31.69, about −39% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IVZ?
Our model-based fair value for Invesco Ltd is $19.38 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $31.69.
What is the quality score of IVZ?
Invesco Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Invesco Ltd (IVZ)?
Invesco Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IVZ?
The net profit margin of Invesco Ltd is about -3.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Invesco Ltd pay a dividend?
Invesco Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.14% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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