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Janux Therapeutics, Inc (JANX) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $867M

JT Janux Therapeutics, Inc logo Janux Therapeutics, Inc JANX · US
Price$15.85
Fair Value$12.89
Upside-18.7%
Quality14/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (5/8)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range $8.51 – $16.12 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −4.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 19% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (14/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range ($8.51 to $16.12) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$66.84 $5.85 Fair Value $12.89 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.85 – $66.84 · fair‑value band $8.51 – $16.12 · the $15.85 price screens above the $12.89 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Janux Therapeutics, Inc (JANX) currently trades at $15.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.89, implying the stock looks roughly 18.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 14/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $13.7M. It earns a return on equity of -11.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $30.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.51 (bear case) to $16.12 (bull case); at $15.85, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -19%, JANX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $7.84 $10.51 $15.69 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.84 $10.51 $15.69 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $13.7M
Revenue growth (YoY) +2,178%
Return on equity -11.7%
Free cash flow −$83.3M FY2025
Operating margin -917%
EPS (TTM) $-1.84
More key figures
Net cash $30.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 14/100

Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 18
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Janux Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, develops immunotherapies based on Tumor Activated T Cell Engager (TRACTr), Tumor Activated Immunomodulator (TRACIr), and Adaptive Immune Response Modulator (ARM) platforms technology to treat patients with cancer.

Full company description

Janux Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, develops immunotherapies based on Tumor Activated T Cell Engager (TRACTr), Tumor Activated Immunomodulator (TRACIr), and Adaptive Immune Response Modulator (ARM) platforms technology to treat patients with cancer. The company's clinical candidates include JANX007, a prostate-specific membrane antigen or PSMA-TRACTr, which is in Phase 1 clinical trial in adults for the treatment of metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer and the vasculature of other tumors; and JANX008, an epidermal growth factor receptor that is in Phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of various solid cancers, including colorectal cancer, squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck, non-small cell lung cancer, renal cell carcinoma, small cell lung cancer, pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, and triple-negative breast cancer. It also develops JANX011, a CD19-targeted adaptive immune response modulator that is in phase 1 clinical study developed for autoimmune diseases. The company has strategic research collaboration agreement with Merck Sharp & Dohme Corp. to develop TRACTr product candidates; and Bristol Myers Squibb to develop and commercialize an undisclosed, novel tumor-activated therapeutic targeting a validated solid tumor antigen expressed across several human cancer types. Janux Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Janux Therapeutics, Inc reported revenue of $10.0M in FY2025 versus $3.6M in FY2021, a compound +28.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$114M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 28/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$10.0M
Latest YoY
−5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+92.3%
Revenue +28.8%/yr
FY21 $3.6M
FY22 $8.6M
FY23 $8.1M
FY24 $10.6M
FY25 $10.0M
Net income
FY21 −$32.6M
FY22 −$54.2M
FY23 −$58.3M
FY24 −$69.0M
FY25 −$114M

JANX screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Janux Therapeutics, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JANX

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 603 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −19% · Above median
Return on assets -9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth 2178% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.91× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 63.15× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 9 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Janux Therapeutics, Inc (JANX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.89 versus a price of $15.85, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JANX?
Our model-based fair value for Janux Therapeutics, Inc is $12.89 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $15.85.
What is the quality score of JANX?
Janux Therapeutics, Inc has a Quality Score of 14/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Janux Therapeutics, Inc (JANX)?
Janux Therapeutics, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.7M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JANX?
The net profit margin of Janux Therapeutics, Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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