JEMTEC Inc (JTC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of JEMTEC Inc C$1.38, price C$1.33, upside +3.8%, quality 75 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.4511 – C$2.02 · fair‑value band C$1.03 – C$1.72 · the C$1.33 price screens below the C$1.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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JEMTEC Inc. provides integrated technology systems for community-based corrections in Canada. The company offers services and technologies for offender monitoring in Canadian federal and provincial correctional departments, and private customers.
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JEMTEC Inc. provides integrated technology systems for community-based corrections in Canada. The company offers services and technologies for offender monitoring in Canadian federal and provincial correctional departments, and private customers. It also provides various levels of technology, which allows corrections, courts, and police to select from various options ensuring the correct level of offender control. In addition, the company offers offender location detection/verification technologies, include offender reporting through telephone contact, offender reporting kiosks with integrated database, global positioning system active and passive tracking, voice verification, electronic monitoring house arrest systems, remote alcohol in-home monitoring, and private monitoring services. JEMTEC Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in North Vancouver, Canada.
Stock analysis
JEMTEC Inc (JTC) currently trades at C$1.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$1.38, implying the stock looks roughly 3.6% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$2.25 per share, and 14 of the 26 models we run sit above the C$1.33 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at C$0.3400, and 12 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: C$1.03 (bear) to C$1.72 (bull), the price of C$1.33 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
JEMTEC Inc reported revenue of C$1.9M in FY2025 versus C$2.6M in FY2021, a compound −7.8%/yr. Reported net income was C$138K in FY2025, compounding −29.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap C$3.7M (≈ $2.6M) · P/E ratio 19.0 · P/S ratio 1.41 · EPS (TTM) C$0.0700 · Net margin 7.4% · Return on equity 7.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.1% · Operating margin 25.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 78% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 4%, JTC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$1.03Fair Value C$1.38Bull C$1.72
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.0700 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.2% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−22.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−22.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 7%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.3%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−16.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −18.0% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Scientific & Technical Instruments · 160 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JEMTEC Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JTC
Frequently asked questions
Is JEMTEC Inc (JTC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$1.38 versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of C$1.33, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of JTC?
Our model-based fair value for JEMTEC Inc is C$1.38 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): C$1.33.
What is the quality score of JTC?
JEMTEC Inc has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JEMTEC Inc (JTC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$1.38 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$1.03, optimistic scenario C$1.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the JEMTEC Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$1.38, about +4% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of C$1.33 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario C$1.03, optimistic scenario C$1.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JEMTEC Inc (JTC)?
JEMTEC Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.9M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into JEMTEC Inc (JTC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, JEMTEC Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -16.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -4.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JTC use?
Our models discount JEMTEC Inc at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.61, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For JEMTEC Inc that is -16.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has JEMTEC Inc (JTC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at JEMTEC Inc grew -4.6 % a year. The price currently implies -16.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of JEMTEC Inc (JTC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into JEMTEC Inc (-16.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of JEMTEC Inc (JTC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.01 %: that much free cash flow JEMTEC Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of JEMTEC Inc (JTC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JEMTEC Inc it is C$1.38 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$1.33. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is JEMTEC Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, JTC trades below its calculated fair value: price C$1.33, fair value C$1.38, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JTC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$1.33); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$1.38). For JEMTEC Inc the two are C$0.0500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JEMTEC Inc worth?
The market values JEMTEC Inc at about C$3.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$1.33; our models calculate a fair value of C$1.38 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JTC?
Our models span a range for JEMTEC Inc: cautious scenario C$1.03, base C$1.38, optimistic C$1.72 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$1.33). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JTC?
JEMTEC Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$1.38 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 1.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of JEMTEC Inc (JTC)?
Balance-sheet figures for JEMTEC Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 7.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 75/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JTC from its 52-week high?
JEMTEC Inc trades at C$1.33, about 13% below its 52-week high of C$1.53 and 78% above the low of C$0.7472 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$1.38 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to JEMTEC Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Garmin Ltd, Teledyne Technologies Incorporated, Chroma ATE Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JEMTEC Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$1.33, calculated fair value C$1.38 (+4%), Quality Score 75/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JTC calculated?
We run JEMTEC Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$1.38, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. JEMTEC Inc currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of JEMTEC Inc (JTC)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at C$1.33. Our model-based fair value is C$1.38, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with JEMTEC Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of JEMTEC Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of JEMTEC Inc (JTC)?
The market capitalisation of JEMTEC Inc is C$3.7M (≈ $2.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of JEMTEC Inc (JTC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of JEMTEC Inc is 1.41 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of JEMTEC Inc (JTC)?
Earnings per share at JEMTEC Inc are C$0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of JEMTEC Inc (JTC)?
The net margin of JEMTEC Inc is 7.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of JEMTEC Inc (JTC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of JEMTEC Inc is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of JEMTEC Inc (JTC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of JEMTEC Inc is 12.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of JEMTEC Inc (JTC)?
The operating margin of JEMTEC Inc is 25.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at JEMTEC Inc (JTC)?
Revenue at JEMTEC Inc is growing −7.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at JEMTEC Inc (JTC)?
Earnings per share at JEMTEC Inc are growing +10.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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