JEMTEC Inc (JTC) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CA · Market cap C$3.1M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from C$1.54 to C$0.9900 (−35.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +21.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 31% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$1.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.4709 – C$2.11 · fair‑value band C$0.7400 – C$1.23 · the C$1.44 price screens above the C$0.9900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
JEMTEC Inc (JTC) currently trades at C$1.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.9900, implying the stock looks roughly 31.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, JEMTEC Inc generated revenue of C$1.9M at a net margin of 10.5%. Revenue grew 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 15.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.7400 (bear case) to C$1.23 (bull case); at C$1.44, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -31%, JTC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$1.83) versus Earnings-Based (C$0.3400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
JEMTEC Inc. provides integrated technology systems for community-based corrections in Canada. The company offers services and technologies for offender monitoring in Canadian federal and provincial correctional departments, and private customers.
Full company description
JEMTEC Inc. provides integrated technology systems for community-based corrections in Canada. The company offers services and technologies for offender monitoring in Canadian federal and provincial correctional departments, and private customers. It also provides various levels of technology, which allows corrections, courts, and police to select from various options ensuring the correct level of offender control. In addition, the company offers offender location detection/verification technologies, include offender reporting through telephone contact, offender reporting kiosks with integrated database, global positioning system active and passive tracking, voice verification, electronic monitoring house arrest systems, remote alcohol in-home monitoring, and private monitoring services. JEMTEC Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in North Vancouver, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
JEMTEC Inc reported revenue of C$1.9M in FY2025 versus C$2.6M in FY2021, a compound −7.8%/yr. Reported net income was C$138K in FY2025, compounding −29.6%/yr from FY2021.
JTC screens 31% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →
Peer Group
Scientific & Technical Instruments · 161 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS | $315.90 | $84.16 | -73% |
| Garmin Ltd GRMN | $241.76 | $146.67 | -39% |
| Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY | $635.52 | $367.58 | -42% |
| Chroma ATE Inc 2360 | 1,905 TWD | 286.15 TWD | -85% |
| Hexagon AB HEXAB | kr 80.10 | kr 52.93 | -34% |
| MKS Inc MKSI | $324.69 | $77.46 | -76% |
| AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 | ¥52.91 | ¥34.47 | -35% |
| Fortive Corporation FTV | $61.78 | $33.84 | -45% |
| Trimble Inc TRMB | $52.72 | $24.47 | -54% |
| Cognex Corporation CGNX | $64.07 | $13.75 | -79% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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