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K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation ₹15.60, price ₹26.92, upside -42.1%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation
KCPSUGIND · BSEWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value ₹15.60 · Strongly overvalued (−42.1%)
!Quality 47/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −4.6 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹18.59 – ₹59.68 · fair‑value band ₹10.92 – ₹19.13 · the ₹26.92 price screens above the ₹15.60 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells sugar and related products in India. The company offers bio fertilizers, rectified spirit, extra neutral alcohol, ethanol, surgical sprit, organic manure, mycorrhiza vam, calcium lactate, and carbon dioxide.
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K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells sugar and related products in India. The company offers bio fertilizers, rectified spirit, extra neutral alcohol, ethanol, surgical sprit, organic manure, mycorrhiza vam, calcium lactate, and carbon dioxide. It also manufactures liquid"solid separation equipment for industrial and environmental applications; processes urad dal; and provides research services in the areas of agriculture, chemical, and biotechnology. In addition, the company operates cogeneration plant. It also exports its products. K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Chennai, India.
Stock analysis
K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND) currently trades at ₹26.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹15.60, 42.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ₹28.08 per share, and 2 of the 8 models we run sit above the ₹26.92 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹8.16, and 6 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹10.92 (bear) to ₹19.13 (bull), the price of ₹26.92 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation reported revenue of ₹2.6B in FY2026 versus ₹3.2B in FY2022, a compound −5.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹111M in FY2026, compounding +32.8%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap ₹3.7B (≈ $38.8M) · P/E ratio 27.5 · P/S ratio 1.18 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.9800 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 4.3% · Return on equity 2.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −42%, KCPSUGIND screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹10.92
Fair Value ₹15.60
Bull ₹19.13
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.4967 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings
₹12.85
₹18.22
₹27.86
76
Residual Income
₹28.79
₹28.08
₹28.09
76
Graham-Dodd
₹6.68
₹8.16
₹9.18
67
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
₹12.85
₹18.22
₹27.86
76
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
₹6.68
₹8.16
₹9.18
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
₹15.46
₹20.62
₹25.77
63
P/S Multiple
₹12.52
₹16.69
₹20.86
58
P/B Multiple
₹12.52
₹16.69
₹20.86
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹20.26
₹27.15
₹40.53
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
₹28.79
₹28.08
₹28.09
76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
₹10.92
₹15.60
₹20.28
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
47/100
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Profitability
24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
19/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−16.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.5%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−3.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2% → −2%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.9%/yr over ~5Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 83 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $57.82 | $29.03 | −50% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $161.41 | $90.80 | −44% |
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISP | CHF 7,540 | CHF 11,708 | +55% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,062 | CHF 654.80 | −38% |
| Cofco Sugar Holding 600737 | ¥14.75 | ¥10.01 | −32% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 106,900 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +90% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.00 | $21.64 | −45% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥18.76 | ¥8.53 | −55% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹649.05 | ₹160.97 | −75% |
| ORION Holdings 001800 | 23,000 KRW | 51,062 KRW | +122% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹15.60 versus a price of ₹26.92, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KCPSUGIND?
Our model-based fair value for K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation is ₹15.60 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹26.92.
What is the quality score of KCPSUGIND?
K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹15.60 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹10.92, optimistic scenario ₹19.13. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹15.60, about −42% upside versus a price of ₹26.92 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹10.92, optimistic scenario ₹19.13. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND)?
K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹2.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation pay a dividend?
K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.30% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation it is ₹15.60 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹26.92. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KCPSUGIND trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹26.92, fair value ₹15.60, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KCPSUGIND?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹26.92); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹15.60). For K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation the two are ₹11.32 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation worth?
The market values K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation at about ₹3.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹26.92; our models calculate a fair value of ₹15.60 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KCPSUGIND?
Our models span a range for K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation: cautious scenario ₹10.92, base ₹15.60, optimistic ₹19.13 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹26.92). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KCPSUGIND?
K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹15.60 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 1.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND)?
Balance-sheet figures for K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.5%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KCPSUGIND from its 52-week high?
K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation trades at ₹26.92, about 22% below its 52-week high of ₹34.71 and 25% above the low of ₹21.61 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹15.60 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹26.92, calculated fair value ₹15.60 (−42%), Quality Score 47/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KCPSUGIND calculated?
We run K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹15.60, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹26.92. Our model-based fair value is ₹15.60, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹19.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND)?
The market capitalisation of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation is ₹3.7B (≈ $38.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND)?
The price-to-sales ratio of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation is 1.18 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND)?
Earnings per share at K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation are ₹0.9800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND)?
The dividend yield of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation is 0.3% (payout 8.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND)?
The net margin of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation is 4.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND)?
The return on equity (ROE) of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND)?
The operating margin of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND)?
Revenue at K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation is growing +31.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND)?
Earnings per share at K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation are growing +141% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND) generate?
The free cash flow of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation is −₹503M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation (KCPSUGIND) carry?
The net debt of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries Corporation is ₹1.1B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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