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KGL Resources Limited (KGLLF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of KGL Resources Limited $0.04, price $0.09, upside -52.8%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · US · ISIN AU000000KGL6

KR KGL Resources Limited logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

KGL Resources Limited

KGLLF · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.0438 · Strongly overvalued (−52.8%)
!Quality 36/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +250.3 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 7/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.2500 $0.0011 Fair Value $0.0438 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0011 – $0.2500 · fair‑value band $0.0345 – $0.0531 · the $0.0928 price screens above the $0.0438 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

KGL Resources Limited develops, explores, and evaluates mineral properties in Australia. The company explores for copper, silver, gold, lead, and zinc deposits.

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KGL Resources Limited develops, explores, and evaluates mineral properties in Australia. The company explores for copper, silver, gold, lead, and zinc deposits. It's flagship project owned 100% interests in the Jervois project covering an area of approximately 252 square kilometers for exploration leases and 37.9 square kilometers for exploration licenses located in the Northern Territory, Australia. The company was formerly known as Kentor Gold Limited and changed its name to KGL Resources Limited in August 2013. KGL Resources Limited was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.

Stock analysis

KGL Resources Limited (KGLLF) currently trades at $0.0928, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0438, 52.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0345 (bear) to $0.0531 (bull), the price of $0.0928 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

KGL Resources Limited reported revenue of A$292K in FY2019 versus A$231K in FY2012, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $185M · Return on equity −2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.3% · Revenue (TTM) A$417K · Revenue growth (YoY) −46.4% · Free cash flow −A$1.4M · Net cash A$5.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −53%, KGLLF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0345 Fair Value $0.0438 Bull $0.0531
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0600 $0.0800 $0.1200 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0600 $0.0800 $0.1200 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 13
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+250.3%
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,319.5% (2013) → −350.7% (2019)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

KGLLF screens overvalued: fair value 53% below the price. Compare with Saudi Arabian Mining Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 434 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Below median
Fair Value upside −27.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −1.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0.0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −46.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.42× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 61.10 SAR 67.21 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.08 ¥19.15 +12%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹588.95 ₹647.85 +10%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥57.18 ¥29.56 −48%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Boliden AB BOL kr 521.00 kr 464.45 −11%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥35.19 ¥38.71 +10%
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN C$12.06 C$4.46 −63%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥46.90 ¥23.62 −50%
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹266.35 ₹655.92 +146%

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KGL Resources Limited · Fair Value
$0.0438 −53%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KGL Resources Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KGLLF

Frequently asked questions

Is KGL Resources Limited (KGLLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0438 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0928, about −53% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KGLLF?
Our model-based fair value for KGL Resources Limited is $0.0438 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.0928.
What is the quality score of KGLLF?
KGL Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for KGL Resources Limited (KGLLF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0438 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0345, optimistic scenario $0.0531. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the KGL Resources Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0438, about −53% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0928 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0345, optimistic scenario $0.0531. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of KGL Resources Limited (KGLLF)?
KGL Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$417K (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of KGL Resources Limited (KGLLF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For KGL Resources Limited it is $0.0438 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0928. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is KGL Resources Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KGLLF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0928, fair value $0.0438, a gap of about −53% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KGLLF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0928); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0438). For KGL Resources Limited the two are $0.0490 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is KGL Resources Limited worth?
The market values KGL Resources Limited at about $185M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0928; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0438 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KGLLF?
Our models span a range for KGL Resources Limited: cautious scenario $0.0345, base $0.0438, optimistic $0.0531 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0928). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of KGL Resources Limited (KGLLF)?
Balance-sheet figures for KGL Resources Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KGLLF from its 52-week high?
KGL Resources Limited trades at $0.0928, about 63% below its 52-week high of $0.2500 and at the low of $0.0928 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0438 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to KGL Resources Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is KGL Resources Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0928, calculated fair value $0.0438 (−53%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KGLLF calculated?
We run KGL Resources Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0438, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. KGL Resources Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of KGL Resources Limited (KGLLF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.0928. Our model-based fair value is $0.0438, about −53% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with KGL Resources Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0531). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of KGL Resources Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of KGL Resources Limited (KGLLF)?
The market capitalisation of KGL Resources Limited is $185M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of KGL Resources Limited (KGLLF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of KGL Resources Limited is −2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of KGL Resources Limited (KGLLF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of KGL Resources Limited is −2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at KGL Resources Limited (KGLLF)?
Revenue at KGL Resources Limited is growing −46.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −63.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does KGL Resources Limited (KGLLF) generate?
The free cash flow of KGL Resources Limited is −A$1.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does KGL Resources Limited (KGLLF) hold?
KGL Resources Limited holds more cash than debt, A$5.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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