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KG PETROCHEM LTD. (KGPETRO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Discretionary · IN · Market cap ₹889M

KP KG PETROCHEM LTD. KGPETRO · BSE
Price₹165.95
Fair Value₹144.94
Upside-12.7%
Quality53/100
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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)

Risks

!Trades 14% ABOVE our fair value of ₹144.94
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.0% net margin
!Narrow moat 17/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.2 %/yr)
Thin margins · 1.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: High Range ₹114.16 – ₹181.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 25, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −5.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but trading 14% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from ₹114.16 (bear) to ₹181.17 (bull), base ₹144.94. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 53/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹424.60 ₹145.70 Fair Value ₹144.94 Jan 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹145.70 – ₹424.60 · fair‑value band ₹114.16 – ₹181.17 · the ₹165.95 price screens above the ₹144.94 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.

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Analysis

KG PETROCHEM LTD. (KGPETRO) currently trades at ₹165.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹144.94, implying the stock looks roughly 12.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Discretionary sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, KG PETROCHEM LTD. generated revenue of ₹3.1B at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue declined 34.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.4%. Net debt stands at ₹846M. Fundamentals as of Aug 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹114.16 (bear case) to ₹181.17 (bull case); at ₹165.95, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Discretionary peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -13%, KGPETRO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹148.84 ₹196.93 ₹254.24 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹105.81 ₹150.06 ₹198.74 74
ROIC Compounder ₹35.40 ₹40.43 ₹44.63 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹146.50 ₹199.71 ₹266.18 38
Owner Earnings ₹201.19 ₹274.07 ₹365.10 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹105.81 ₹147.52 ₹197.66 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹220.49 ₹352.53 ₹500.98 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹131.80 ₹193.99 ₹255.69 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹119.66 ₹158.16 ₹204.04 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹187.38 ₹285.11 ₹406.87 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹136.58 ₹186.93 ₹242.85 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹57.98 ₹141.55 ₹183.10 54
PEG = 1.0 ₹25.30 ₹36.15 ₹46.99 46
EPV ₹35.40 ₹40.43 ₹44.63 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹140.68 ₹187.57 ₹234.46 63
P/S Multiple ₹108.70 ₹144.94 ₹181.17 58
P/B Multiple ₹108.70 ₹144.94 ₹181.17 55
EV/EBIT ₹123.04 ₹164.55 ₹206.06 53
EV/EBITDA ₹312.28 ₹416.88 ₹521.47 54
EV/Revenue ₹82.45 ₹118.43 ₹154.40 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹178.47 ₹239.15 ₹356.95 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹148.84 ₹196.93 ₹254.24 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹105.81 ₹150.06 ₹198.74 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹238.50 ₹222.71 ₹165.65 61
ROIC Compounder ₹35.40 ₹40.43 ₹44.63 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹107.29 ₹153.28 ₹199.26 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (₹239.15) versus Earnings-Based (₹40.43). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 19.5
P/S ratio 0.32 TTM
Net margin 1.0% TTM
Return on equity 1.5% TTM
Return on assets 0.4% TTM
Operating margin 2.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
EPS (TTM) ₹8.53
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ₹2.8B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -38.6% 3y avg +3.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -77.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ₹86.7M FY2026
Net debt ₹846M FY2026 · ≈ 9.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

KG PETROCHEM LTD. reported revenue of ₹3.1B in FY2026 versus ₹3.2B in FY2022, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹44.5M in FY2026, compounding −28.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 51/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹3.1B
Latest YoY
−16.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−23.9% (-23.9 + 0.0)
Revenue −0.7%/yr
FY22 ₹3.2B
FY23 ₹2.8B
FY24 ₹3.0B
FY25 ₹3.8B
FY26 ₹3.1B
Net income −28.9%/yr
FY22 ₹174M
FY23 ₹79.3M
FY24 ₹9.3M
FY25 ₹55.1M
FY26 ₹44.5M

KGPETRO screens 13% overvalued. Compare with RAJPALAYAM →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KG PETROCHEM LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KGPETRO

Peer Group

Textiles · 24 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside +8% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth -39% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Textiles median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.48× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.32× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE44 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 5
PAST6 · sector 23
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 0

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Textiles stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
RAJPALAYAM RAJPALAYAM ₹823.35 ₹1,694 +106%
LAKSHMIMIL LAKSHMIMIL ₹8,086 ₹1,351 -83%
OMNITEX OMNITEX ₹737.70 ₹108.11 -85%
RNBDENIMS RNBDENIMS ₹8.66 ₹15.60 +80%
CANDOUR CANDOUR ₹68.52 ₹20.30 -70%
LAHOTIOV LAHOTIOV ₹45.15 ₹52.51 +16%
PREMCO PREMCO ₹381.00 ₹307.99 -19%
AICHAMP AICHAMP ₹28.45 ₹9.86 -65%
DEEPAKSP DEEPAKSP ₹129.60 ₹86.07 -34%
EVERLON EVERLON ₹100.00 ₹22.83 -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is KG PETROCHEM LTD. (KGPETRO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹144.94 versus a price of ₹165.95, about −13% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KGPETRO?
Our model-based fair value for KG PETROCHEM LTD. is ₹144.94 (as of Aug 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹165.95.
What is the quality score of KGPETRO?
KG PETROCHEM LTD. has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of KG PETROCHEM LTD. (KGPETRO)?
KG PETROCHEM LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KGPETRO?
The net profit margin of KG PETROCHEM LTD. is about 1.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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