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Kemper Corporation (KMPR) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $1.5B

KC Kemper Corporation logo Kemper Corporation KMPR · US
Price$28.51
Fair Value$31.64
Upside+11.0%
Quality57/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.09% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Narrow moat 26/100
Evidence: High Range $23.73 – $39.55 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −2.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 11% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
  • Our model range runs from $23.73 (bear) to $39.55 (bull), base $31.64. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 57/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$69.82 $22.90 Fair Value $31.64 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $22.90 – $69.82 · fair‑value band $23.73 – $39.55 · the $28.51 price screens below the $31.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Kemper Corporation (KMPR) currently trades at $28.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $31.64, implying the stock looks roughly 11.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Kemper Corporation generated revenue of $4.7B at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue declined 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. Net debt stands at $879M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $23.73 (bear case) to $39.55 (bull case); at $28.51, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 11%, KMPR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $33.38 $33.50 $30.70 76
Gordon GGM $10.50 $16.09 $21.54 70
P/E Multiple $23.73 $31.64 $39.55 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $10.50 $16.09 $21.54 70
DDM Multi-Stage $10.50 $14.60 $18.55 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $23.73 $31.64 $39.55 63
P/B Multiple $31.03 $41.38 $51.72 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $22.77 $30.51 $45.54 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $33.38 $33.50 $30.70 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($33.50) versus Dividend Discount ($14.60). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.1%
Net margin 0.9%
Return on equity 1.1%
Free cash flow $554M FY2025
P/E ratio 34.8
More key figures
Operating margin 0.8%
EPS (TTM) $0.7200
Dividend yield 5.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.4%
Net debt $879M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 95
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kemper Corporation, an insurance holding company, provides insurance products in the United States. It operates in two segments, Specialty Property & Casualty Insurance, and Life Insurance.

Full company description

Kemper Corporation, an insurance holding company, provides insurance products in the United States. It operates in two segments, Specialty Property & Casualty Insurance, and Life Insurance. The Specialty Property & Casualty Insurance segment primarily offers specialty personal automobile and commercial automobile insurance through independent agents and brokers. The Life Insurance segment primarily provides individual life, accident, supplemental health, and property insurance. The company was formerly known as Unitrin, Inc. and changed its name to Kemper Corporation in August 2011. Kemper Corporation was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kemper Corporation reported revenue of $4.8B in FY2025 versus $5.6B in FY2021, a compound −3.8%/yr. Reported net income was $143M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.8B
Latest YoY
+3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (37Y)
+3.8%
Revenue −3.8%/yr
FY21 $5.6B
FY22 $5.5B
FY23 $4.9B
FY24 $4.6B
FY25 $4.8B
Net income
FY21 −$124M
FY22 −$287M
FY23 −$347M
FY24 $318M
FY25 $143M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kemper Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KMPR

Peer Group

Insurance - Property & Casualty · 120 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Below median
Fair Value upside +11% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.35× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Property & Casualty median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 34.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.55× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.31× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 12.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.75× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 48 · sector 44
FUTURE 0 · sector 31
PAST 5 · sector 56
HEALTH 82 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 48

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Progressive Corporation PGR $234.48 $252.50 +8%
Chubb Limited CB $337.44 $345.56 +2%
The Travelers Companies, Inc TRV $368.98 $384.42 +4%
The Allstate Corporation ALL $251.61 $503.22 +100%
The People's Insurance Company 601319 ¥7.06 ¥13.71 +94%
Intact Financial Corporation IFC C$294.02 C$247.44 -16%
Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH C$2,327 C$3,252 +40%
QBE Insurance Group QBE A$25.47 A$19.42 -24%
Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co 000810 648,000 KRW 658,771 KRW +2%
Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA PZU 69.80 PLN 100.85 PLN +44%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kemper Corporation (KMPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $31.64 versus a price of $28.51, about +11% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KMPR?
Our model-based fair value for Kemper Corporation is $31.64 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $28.51.
What is the quality score of KMPR?
Kemper Corporation has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kemper Corporation (KMPR)?
Kemper Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KMPR?
The net profit margin of Kemper Corporation is about 0.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kemper Corporation pay a dividend?
Kemper Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.09% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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