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Grupo KUO S.A.B. de C.V (KUOA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · MX · Market cap 22.6B MXN

GK Grupo KUO S.A.B. de C.V KUOA · MX
Price46.00 MXN
Fair Value87.99 MXN
Upside+91.3%
Quality66/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range 61.97 MXN – 161.65 MXN Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 102.66 MXN to 87.99 MXN (−14.3%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −11.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 91% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (61.97 MXN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (61.97 MXN to 161.65 MXN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

62.30 MXN 32.35 MXN Fair Value 87.99 MXN Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 32.35 MXN – 62.30 MXN · fair‑value band 61.97 MXN – 161.65 MXN · the 46.00 MXN price screens below the 87.99 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Grupo KUO S.A.B. de C.V (KUOA) currently trades at 46.00 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 87.99 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 91.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Grupo KUO S.A.B. de C.V generated revenue of 34.0B MXN at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue declined 12.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.3%. Net debt stands at 4.2B MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 61.97 MXN (bear case) to 161.65 MXN (bull case); at 46.00 MXN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 91%, KUOA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 83.58 MXN 122.79 MXN 176.93 MXN 80
Residual Income 59.08 MXN 75.43 MXN 284.03 MXN 76
Rev-Margin DCF 35.27 MXN 49.79 MXN 66.27 MXN 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 81.17 MXN 123.86 MXN 185.72 MXN 38
Owner Earnings 114.16 MXN 172.34 MXN 256.66 MXN 31
5Y Revenue Exit 35.27 MXN 48.21 MXN 63.16 MXN 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 58.75 MXN 90.46 MXN 125.68 MXN 41
5Y P/E Exit 105.54 MXN 174.68 MXN 244.49 MXN 38
10Y Revenue Exit 50.91 MXN 65.91 MXN 83.08 MXN 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 66.25 MXN 94.64 MXN 129.14 MXN 37
10Y P/E Exit 95.63 MXN 151.93 MXN 216.66 MXN 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 63.37 MXN 160.01 MXN 207.87 MXN 54
PEG = 1.0 29.55 MXN 42.22 MXN 54.88 MXN 46
EPV 1.10 MXN 2.91 MXN 4.49 MXN 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 41.76 MXN 79.64 MXN 133.38 MXN 70
DDM Multi-Stage 41.76 MXN 63.46 MXN 86.94 MXN 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 146.77 MXN 195.70 MXN 244.62 MXN 63
P/S Multiple 96.99 MXN 129.32 MXN 161.65 MXN 58
P/B Multiple 118.82 MXN 158.42 MXN 198.03 MXN 55
EV/EBIT 18.92 MXN 28.48 MXN 38.03 MXN 53
EV/EBITDA 53.89 MXN 75.10 MXN 96.31 MXN 54
EV/Revenue 10.72 MXN 19.49 MXN 28.25 MXN 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 20.03 MXN 26.84 MXN 40.07 MXN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 83.58 MXN 122.79 MXN 176.93 MXN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 35.27 MXN 49.79 MXN 66.27 MXN 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 59.08 MXN 75.43 MXN 284.03 MXN 76
ROIC Compounder 1.10 MXN 2.91 MXN 4.49 MXN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 113.45 MXN 162.07 MXN 210.69 MXN 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (162.07 MXN) versus Economic Profit (2.91 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 34.0B MXN
Revenue growth (YoY) -12.4%
Net margin 1.4%
Return on equity 2.3%
Free cash flow 3.7B MXN FY2025
P/E ratio 61.4 as of Jun 10, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 2.2%
EPS (TTM) 0.9600 MXN
EPS growth (YoY) -97.6%
Net debt 4.2B MXN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 81
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kuo, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells consumer products, plastics and chemical products, and transmissions and auto parts in Mexico, the United States, Spain, Belgium, and China. It operates through three segments: Consumption, Chemical, and Automotive.

Full company description

Kuo, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells consumer products, plastics and chemical products, and transmissions and auto parts in Mexico, the United States, Spain, Belgium, and China. It operates through three segments: Consumption, Chemical, and Automotive. The company engages in the production, sale, and marketing of consumer products, such as processed food and beverages; plastics and chemical products, that includes synthetic rubber and polymers; and transmissions, automotive parts, and components, such as pistons, brakes, bearings, gaskets, valves, and water pumps. Kuo, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Grupo KUO S.A.B. de C.V reported revenue of 35.2B MXN in FY2025 versus 40.3B MXN in FY2021, a compound −3.4%/yr. Reported net income was 4.1B MXN in FY2025, compounding +10.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
35.2B MXN
Latest YoY
−1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.4%
Revenue −3.4%/yr
FY21 40.3B MXN
FY22 40.3B MXN
FY23 34.0B MXN
FY24 35.7B MXN
FY25 35.2B MXN
Net income +10.6%/yr
FY21 2.7B MXN
FY22 1.9B MXN
FY23 736M MXN
FY24 −1.4B MXN
FY25 4.1B MXN

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo KUO S.A.B. de C.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KUOA

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 658 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +91% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth -12% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.41× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 61.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.30× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.67× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 25
FUTURE0 · sector 19
PAST9 · sector 28
HEALTH79 · sector 96
DIVIDEND100 · sector 52

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,507 ₹362.37 -76%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,511 ₹1,765 -68%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,062 ₹327.27 -69%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 7,550 IDR 12,864 IDR +70%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,219,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -17%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 61,600 VND 52,858 VND -14%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹350.95 ₹144.77 -59%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,650 IDR 2,699 IDR +64%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,610 IDR 4,350 IDR -6%
Nongshim Co 004370 389,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +36%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Grupo KUO S.A.B. de C.V (KUOA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 87.99 MXN versus a price of 46.00 MXN, about +91% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KUOA?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo KUO S.A.B. de C.V is 87.99 MXN (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 46.00 MXN.
What is the quality score of KUOA?
Grupo KUO S.A.B. de C.V has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Grupo KUO S.A.B. de C.V (KUOA)?
Grupo KUO S.A.B. de C.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 34.0B MXN (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KUOA?
The net profit margin of Grupo KUO S.A.B. de C.V is about 1.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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