Keyence Corporation (KYCCF) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $111B
Keyence Corporation
KYCCF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $229.05 to $220.36 (−3.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +14.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($271.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $311.99 – $671.32 · fair‑value band $151.85 – $271.61 · the $540.50 price screens above the $220.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Keyence Corporation (KYCCF) currently trades at $540.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $220.36, implying the stock looks roughly 59.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Keyence Corporation generated revenue of $1.2T at a net margin of 38.1%. Revenue grew 17.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $601B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $151.85 (bear case) to $271.61 (bull case); at $540.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -59%, KYCCF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($259.25) versus Dividend Discount ($45.20). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Keyence Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells electronic application equipment in Japan and internationally.
Full company description
Keyence Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells electronic application equipment in Japan and internationally. The company offers photoelectric, fiber optic, laser, inductive proximity, positioning, vision, and specific solution sensors, as well as network communication units; laser profiler/3D laser snapshot sensor, laser displacement sensors, optical micrometer/laser micrometer, spectral interference displacement sensor, inductive displacement sensors, and LVDT/contact displacement sensors; machine vision products; and flow sensors/flow meters, pressure sensors, temperature sensors, and level sensors. It also provides pneumatic components; safety light curtains, laser scanners, interlock switches, and controller; microscopes/laser microscopes; optical comparator; coordinate measuring machine, 3D scanner, and 3D optical profilometers; programmable logic controller, micro PLC /small PLC, HMI, servo motors/servo systems, and other control products; and marking/coding, barcode reader, mobile computers/handheld computers, data acquisition, static control, additive manufacturing, and RPA/desktop automation software products. The company's products are used in automotive, metals, semiconductors/LCDs, electronic devices, plastics, films/sheets, food/pharmaceutical, medical technology, and logistics applications. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Keyence Corporation reported revenue of ¥1.2T in FY2026 versus ¥755B in FY2022, a compound +11.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥448B in FY2026, compounding +10.2%/yr from FY2022.
KYCCF screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →
Peer Group
Scientific & Technical Instruments · 162 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS | $315.90 | $84.16 | -73% |
| Garmin Ltd GRMN | $241.76 | $146.67 | -39% |
| Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY | $635.52 | $367.58 | -42% |
| Chroma ATE Inc 2360 | 1,905 TWD | 286.15 TWD | -85% |
| Hexagon AB HEXAB | kr 80.10 | kr 52.93 | -34% |
| MKS Inc MKSI | $324.69 | $77.46 | -76% |
| AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 | ¥52.91 | ¥34.47 | -35% |
| Fortive Corporation FTV | $61.78 | $33.84 | -45% |
| Trimble Inc TRMB | $52.72 | $24.47 | -54% |
| Cognex Corporation CGNX | $64.07 | $13.75 | -79% |
Compare Keyence Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Technology stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Keyence Corporation (KYCCF) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of KYCCF?
What is the quality score of KYCCF?
What is the revenue of Keyence Corporation (KYCCF)?
What is the net profit margin of KYCCF?
Does Keyence Corporation pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Keyence Corporation and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.