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Kyowa Kirin Co (KYKOY) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $8.2B

KK Kyowa Kirin Co logo Kyowa Kirin Co KYKOY · US
Price$16.00
Fair Value$15.88
Upside-0.8%
Quality58/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.3% net margin
generates free cash flow
2.59% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/11)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: High Range $9.18 – $19.85 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $16.26 to $15.88 (−2.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.5% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($9.18 to $19.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$19.10 $12.95 Fair Value $15.88 Sep 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

34‑month range $12.95 – $19.10 · fair‑value band $9.18 – $19.85 · the $16.00 price screens above the $15.88 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Kyowa Kirin Co (KYKOY) currently trades at $16.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.88, implying the stock looks roughly 0.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Kyowa Kirin Co generated revenue of $511B at a net margin of 14.3%. Revenue grew 13.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 19.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $9.18 (bear case) to $19.85 (bull case); at $16.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -1%, KYKOY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3.54 $4.00 $4.71 72
Growth-Adj P/E $9.38 $13.41 $17.43 68
Rev-Margin DCF $9.92 $16.28 $23.92 67
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3.54 $4.02 $4.78 38
Owner Earnings $4.15 $5.02 $6.38 31
5Y Revenue Exit $9.92 $16.54 $25.47 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $12.30 $21.18 $32.09 41
5Y P/E Exit $10.47 $17.61 $25.52 38
10Y Revenue Exit $7.24 $12.66 $20.77 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $9.08 $15.88 $25.92 37
10Y P/E Exit $7.93 $13.40 $20.81 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.75 $21.79 $29.49 54
Lynch FV $5.28 $7.55 $9.81 50
PEG = 1.0 $5.28 $7.55 $9.81 46
EPV $12.02 $13.48 $14.74 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.68 $16.91 $21.13 63
P/S Multiple $10.78 $14.37 $17.96 58
P/B Multiple $10.78 $14.37 $17.96 55
EV/EBIT $20.17 $25.97 $31.77 53
EV/EBITDA $18.55 $23.81 $29.07 54
EV/Revenue $13.72 $18.42 $23.12 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.63 $7.55 $11.26 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.54 $4.00 $4.71 72
Rev-Margin DCF $9.92 $16.28 $23.92 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.11 $9.62 $10.39 61
ROIC Compounder $12.29 $15.05 $18.75 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $9.38 $13.41 $17.43 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($16.91) versus Growth DCF ($4.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $511B
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.1%
Net margin 14.3%
Return on equity 8.5%
Free cash flow $5.4B FY2025
P/E ratio 19.5
More key figures
Operating margin 14.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.8000
Dividend yield 2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +95.1%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kyowa Kirin Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and marketing of pharmaceuticals in Japan, the Americas, Europe, Asia, and internationally.

Full company description

Kyowa Kirin Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and marketing of pharmaceuticals in Japan, the Americas, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers Ziftomenib, an oral menin inhibitor for the treatment of adult relapsed or refractory and acute myeloid leukemia with a nucelophosmin1 mutation; and Lumicef for the treatment of palmoplantar pustulosis. It also develops KHK4083/AMG 451 rocatinlimab, which is in Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of moderate to severe atopic dermatitis and prurigo nodularis; KK8398 infigratinib, which is in Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of achondroplasia; OTL-203, which is in Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of hurler syndrome; KHK4951 tivozanib, which is in Phase II clinical trial for the treatment of diabetic macular edema and neovascular age-related macular degeneration; and OTL-201, which is in Phase II clinical trial for the treatment of sanfilippo syndrome type A. In addition, the company is involved in the development of KK2260 and KK2269, which are both in Phase I clinical trials for the treatment of advanced or metastatic solid tumors; KK2845, which is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of acute myeloid leukemia; KK3910, which is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of essential hypertension; KK4277, which is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of systemic/cutaneous lupus erythematosus; and KK8123, which is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of X-linked hypophosphatemia. It has a partnership with La Jolla Institute for Immunology for research in disease areas; AstraZeneca for severe asthma treatment; and AMGEN for therapeutic drugs development. The company was formerly known as Kyowa Hakko Kirin Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Kyowa Kirin Co., Ltd. in July 2019. Kyowa Kirin Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Chiyoda, Japan. The company operates as a subsidiary of Kirin Holdings Company, Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kyowa Kirin Co reported revenue of $497B in FY2025 versus $352B in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was $67.0B in FY2025, compounding +6.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$497B
Latest YoY
+0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.3%
Revenue +9.0%/yr
FY21 $352B
FY22 $398B
FY23 $442B
FY24 $496B
FY25 $497B
Net income +6.4%/yr
FY21 $52.3B
FY22 $53.6B
FY23 $81.2B
FY24 $59.9B
FY25 $67.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kyowa Kirin Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KYKOY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −1% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.5× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 4.83× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 32 · sector 7
FUTURE 66 · sector 20
PAST 34 · sector 23
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 52 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kyowa Kirin Co (KYKOY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.88 versus a price of $16.00, about −1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KYKOY?
Our model-based fair value for Kyowa Kirin Co is $15.88 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $16.00.
What is the quality score of KYKOY?
Kyowa Kirin Co has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kyowa Kirin Co (KYKOY)?
Kyowa Kirin Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $511B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KYKOY?
The net profit margin of Kyowa Kirin Co is about 14.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kyowa Kirin Co pay a dividend?
Kyowa Kirin Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.59% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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